0x212dcb2e7023d72656e1d6c01d8598d96dceb1d2
- Realised P&L
- $3.85
- Volume
- $149.18
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $4.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 49.5 · Under | 0.510 | 0.545 | $2.14 | +$0.14 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.570 | 0.565 | $1.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30? · Yes | 0.267 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres · San Diego Padres | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.18at 0.487Texas Rangers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5
- +$2.09at 0.497St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5
- +$2.01at 0.507Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
- +$1.71at 0.548Bills vs. Texans
- +$1.71at 0.525Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 17:25 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 23:26 | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 20:22 | Tiburon: Bryce Nakashima vs Andre Ilagan | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 15:01 | Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 49.5 | BUY | 0.5099999516 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 22:38 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 07:53 | Torino FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5599999328 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 04:03 | Bills vs. Texans | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 22:25 | Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $2.00 |
| 09-10 10:21 | Counter-Strike: NIP vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 21:18 | Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 16:02 | Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Infinite (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group D | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 08:04 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.4799999616 | $2.00 |
| 09-04 17:57 | Chicago Cubs vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.6099999786 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 09:49 | US Open WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Taylah Preston | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 08-31 06:17 | Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |