Catatau1001
0x212ba2caacd7dac2827b380284fc6a4a0b9d9671
- Realised P&L
- $146.27
- Volume
- $5.6k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $294.23
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No | 0.630 | 0.770 | $77.00 | +$14.00 |
| Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.934 | $46.73 | +$5.22 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.384 | 0.460 | $45.95 | +$7.55 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.905 | $45.25 | +$7.75 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · No | 0.640 | 0.615 | $43.05 | −$1.75 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.362 | $36.25 | −$2.75 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.135 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.50 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.00 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.00at 0.630Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$30.00at 0.700Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
- +$27.20at 0.726Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
- +$25.28at 0.175Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$21.82at 0.739Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 12:34 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | SELL | 0.3 | $12.00 |
| 07-06 11:49 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.057 | $5.70 |
| 07-04 01:00 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.6 | $26.33 |
| 07-04 00:53 | Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? | SELL | 0.972 | $8.26 |
| 06-29 21:22 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.031 | $4.65 |
| 06-29 00:20 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.038 | $11.40 |
| 06-25 20:44 | Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? | SELL | 0.974 | $25.32 |
| 06-25 20:40 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.384 | $38.40 |
| 06-25 20:37 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.026 | $2.60 |
| 06-25 01:34 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.079 | $7.90 |
| 06-19 02:00 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.012 | $1.20 |
| 06-14 12:31 | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | SELL | 0.11 | $5.50 |
| 05-18 01:23 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | BUY | 0.21 | $8.40 |
| 05-12 01:58 | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.726 | $36.30 |
| 05-08 18:21 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | BUY | 0.64 | $44.80 |