PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Catatau1001

0x212ba2caacd7dac2827b380284fc6a4a0b9d9671

Realised P&L
$146.27
Volume
$5.6k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$294.23

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.6300.770$77.00+$14.00
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? · Yes0.8300.934$46.73+$5.22
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3840.460$45.95+$7.55
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7500.905$45.25+$7.75
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · No0.6400.615$43.05$1.75
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? · Yes0.3900.362$36.25$2.75
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1350.000$0.00$13.50
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0850.000$0.00$17.00
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00$8.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-08 12:34Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?SELL0.3$12.00
07-06 11:49Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.057$5.70
07-04 01:00Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.6$26.33
07-04 00:53Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?SELL0.972$8.26
06-29 21:22Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.031$4.65
06-29 00:20Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.038$11.40
06-25 20:44Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?SELL0.974$25.32
06-25 20:40Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.384$38.40
06-25 20:37Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.026$2.60
06-25 01:34Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.079$7.90
06-19 02:00Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.012$1.20
06-14 12:31Will Neymar play in the World Cup?SELL0.11$5.50
05-18 01:23Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?BUY0.21$8.40
05-12 01:58Starmer out by May 15, 2026?BUY0.726$36.30
05-08 18:21Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?BUY0.64$44.80