PolyBot

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Traders

EsperanzasDESTROYER

0x2128f011fb563a8ff6c484ba80eb049356c1f203

Realised P&L
$51.0k
Volume
$783.9k
Markets traded
427
Open portfolio
$69.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded427
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Srđan Amidžić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? · No0.9210.972$2.9k+$150.77
Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? · No0.8330.935$2.5k+$266.19
Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026? · No0.8470.965$2.4k+$299.87
Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.7300.715$1.7k$34.35
Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? · No0.7410.710$1.6k$69.84
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be less than 1,200,000? · No0.7640.993$1.2k+$280.06
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.6230.665$1.1k+$71.45
Will Antonio Zanardi Landi be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026? · No0.7640.953$1.1k+$207.98
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,300,000 and 1,400,000? · No0.8090.985$971.31+$173.09
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be less than 1,400,000? · No0.8850.984$904.35+$90.66
Will Shrek 5 be delayed? · No0.7580.875$836.40+$112.21
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.4260.465$831.36+$69.66
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey be less than 2,400,000? · No0.7980.986$831.27+$157.68
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 8,500,000 and 8,750,000? · No0.8780.975$817.14+$81.02
Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next? · Yes0.2790.420$799.89+$268.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 22:36Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 9,600,000 and 10,000,000?SELL0.3552228613$79.06
09-16 20:51Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 750,000 and 800,000?BUY0.1672929936$52.53
09-16 20:36Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota be between 300,000 and 325,000?SELL0.89$275.90
09-16 20:35Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota be between 350,000 and 375,000?BUY0.2470934959$121.57
09-16 20:35Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota be between 300,000 and 325,000?BUY0.8252733716$391.25
09-16 20:11Will Salahdine Parnasse fight Renato Moicano next?BUY0.845576665$447.30
09-16 19:31Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 650,000 and 700,000?SELL0.3634216297$82.87
09-16 19:30Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 700,000 and 750,000?BUY0.2983380548$315.94
09-16 19:24Will Yair Rodriguez fight Kevin Vallejos next?BUY0.7607408338$378.66
09-16 18:26Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 30k and 40k?SELL0.24$265.52
09-16 14:56Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,750,000 and 2,900,000?BUY0.31$27.59
09-16 14:56Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,600,000 and 2,750,000?BUY0.25$28.75
09-16 14:41Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 10,400,000 and 10,800,000?BUY0.1069416014$17.76
09-16 14:40Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 9,600,000 and 10,000,000?BUY0.2364634273$159.47
09-16 11:11Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 350,000 and 400,000?BUY0.364$7.28