PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

AaronCA

0x2128f011fb563a8ff6c484ba80eb049356c1f203

Realised P&L
$16.5k
Volume
$175.1k
Markets traded
77
Open portfolio
$18.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar9.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded77
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election? · Yes0.7940.855$2.4k+$174.54
Will Braeden Caley win the 2026 North Vancouver—Capilano by-election? · Yes0.6560.980$2.1k+$690.40
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · No0.3230.560$1.7k+$705.66
Will 0–1 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries? · No0.8940.984$1.5k+$137.17
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.4540.725$1.4k+$511.93
Will Antonio Zanardi Landi be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026? · No0.7640.960$1.1k+$219.86
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? · No0.5170.730$998.49+$290.88
Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? · No0.6180.923$738.55+$244.23
Will Shrek 5 be delayed? · No0.7580.740$707.36$16.83
Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? · No0.1130.120$625.56+$37.80
Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? · Yes0.5200.625$479.05+$80.48
Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in July? · Yes0.3740.996$451.01+$281.36
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + UDMR? · No0.6920.940$365.58+$96.24
Will Genmo AI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026? · No0.6310.988$361.40+$130.44
Will 4–5 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries? · Yes0.0980.325$301.71+$210.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 01:39Will Tukaka George Tamarua Ama win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?BUY0.061546161$38.65
08-02 21:57Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + UDMR?SELL0.8650275117$309.71
08-02 19:28Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?BUY0.3326$49.89
08-02 15:09Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.3226514431$1.0k
08-01 00:20Exact Score: MFK Ružomberok 3 - 3 FK Železiarne Podbrezová?BUY0.8$9.60
08-01 00:19Exact Score: MFK Ružomberok 3 - 3 FK Železiarne Podbrezová?BUY0.8$32.00
08-01 00:18Exact Score: MFK Ružomberok 3 - 3 FK Železiarne Podbrezová?BUY0.8$53.60
08-01 00:18Exact Score: MFK Ružomberok 3 - 3 FK Železiarne Podbrezová?BUY0.8$20.00
08-01 00:18Exact Score: MFK Ružomberok 3 - 3 FK Železiarne Podbrezová?BUY0.8$20.00
08-01 00:18Exact Score: MFK Ružomberok 3 - 3 FK Železiarne Podbrezová?BUY0.8$8.00
08-01 00:16Exact Score: MFK Ružomberok 3 - 3 FK Železiarne Podbrezová?BUY0.8$160.00
07-31 23:51Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in July?BUY0.56$428.86
07-31 23:06Will there be no next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?SELL0.3595938969$372.61
07-31 22:43Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?BUY0.0841511514$133.56
07-31 22:39Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?BUY0.1038011213$860.52