EsperanzasDESTROYER
0x2128f011fb563a8ff6c484ba80eb049356c1f203
- Realised P&L
- $51.0k
- Volume
- $783.9k
- Markets traded
- 427
- Open portfolio
- $69.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded427
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.280Will Caedrel Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?
- +$1.6kat 0.653Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?
- +$1.6kat 0.569Will Anyone's Legend Win the Shortest Game in LPL 2026 Split 3?
- +$1.3kat 0.164Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?
- +$1.2kat 0.463Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 22:36 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 9,600,000 and 10,000,000? | SELL | 0.3552228613 | $79.06 |
| 09-16 20:51 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 750,000 and 800,000? | BUY | 0.1672929936 | $52.53 |
| 09-16 20:36 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota be between 300,000 and 325,000? | SELL | 0.89 | $275.90 |
| 09-16 20:35 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota be between 350,000 and 375,000? | BUY | 0.2470934959 | $121.57 |
| 09-16 20:35 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota be between 300,000 and 325,000? | BUY | 0.8252733716 | $391.25 |
| 09-16 20:11 | Will Salahdine Parnasse fight Renato Moicano next? | BUY | 0.845576665 | $447.30 |
| 09-16 19:31 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 650,000 and 700,000? | SELL | 0.3634216297 | $82.87 |
| 09-16 19:30 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 700,000 and 750,000? | BUY | 0.2983380548 | $315.94 |
| 09-16 19:24 | Will Yair Rodriguez fight Kevin Vallejos next? | BUY | 0.7607408338 | $378.66 |
| 09-16 18:26 | Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 30k and 40k? | SELL | 0.24 | $265.52 |
| 09-16 14:56 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,750,000 and 2,900,000? | BUY | 0.31 | $27.59 |
| 09-16 14:56 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,600,000 and 2,750,000? | BUY | 0.25 | $28.75 |
| 09-16 14:41 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 10,400,000 and 10,800,000? | BUY | 0.1069416014 | $17.76 |
| 09-16 14:40 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 9,600,000 and 10,000,000? | BUY | 0.2364634273 | $159.47 |
| 09-16 11:11 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 350,000 and 400,000? | BUY | 0.364 | $7.28 |