PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x32f37882FE478a8a46b1aE44C345A670b9f3d579-1771903735305

0x21257f844c08aea052f07843e1822807767ea1a3

Realised P&L
$-44.24
Volume
$3.8k
Markets traded
116
Open portfolio
$161.46

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded116
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration56.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 20%-30%? · No0.9230.937$18.74+$0.28
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-08 House election by 9%-12%? · No0.8900.813$16.25−$1.55
Meta (META) Q3 average price per ad growth 15%+? · No0.8000.750$15.00−$1.00
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-04 House election by 5%-10%? · No0.8910.831$13.29−$0.97
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be at least $2.25T at the end of October 2026? · No0.7500.560$11.20−$3.80
Closer Senate Race: Alaska or Texas? · Texas0.6500.540$10.80−$2.20
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 22? · No0.6200.450$9.00−$3.40
Will IMAX (IMAX) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.5400.395$7.90−$2.90
Will there be 2+ walk-offs during the 2026 MLB Postseason? · Yes0.3800.370$7.40−$0.20
Arizona passes drug cartel ballot measure? · No0.3100.320$6.40+$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 20? · Yes0.3900.981$6.35+$3.82
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 20? · Yes0.2900.975$4.87+$3.42
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 21? · No0.6100.500$4.60−$1.01
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 22? · No0.6100.800$3.92+$0.93
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election by 25%-30%? · Yes0.1750.184$3.69+$0.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 01:56Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-06 House election by 35%-40%?SELL0.22$4.40
10-21 01:44Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026?SELL0.24$4.80
10-20 21:35Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 22?SELL0.1573875$2.52
10-20 15:01Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 22?SELL0.51$7.14
10-20 11:56Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in October?SELL0.215$1.72
10-19 17:22Will Spirit Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?SELL0.72$5.76
10-19 15:03Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 21?SELL0.35$7.00
10-19 12:01Walmart (WMT) Q3 US eCommerce sales growth <17%?SELL0.901$14.42
10-19 11:48Walmart (WMT) Q3 US eCommerce sales growth 17% to 21%?SELL0.905$18.10
10-19 11:45Will ISM Services PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in October?SELL0.912$18.24
10-19 09:40Will a player from the Big Ten win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?SELL0.64$12.80
10-19 08:35Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-02 House election by 3%-6%?SELL0.013$0.26
10-19 08:08Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October?SELL0.19$3.42
10-18 22:52Will an AL East team win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.735285$14.71
10-18 21:03Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 23?SELL0.77$15.40