0x32f37882FE478a8a46b1aE44C345A670b9f3d579-1771903735305
0x21257f844c08aea052f07843e1822807767ea1a3
- Realised P&L
- $-44.24
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $161.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.78at 0.061Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?
- +$2.40at 0.470Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial second round by at least 20%?
- +$2.12at 0.684Will lukxo have the most first bloods at VALORANT Champions 2026?
- +$1.40at 0.410Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by November 30, 2026?
- +$1.40at 0.390Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 01:56 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-06 House election by 35%-40%? | SELL | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 10-21 01:44 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 10-20 21:35 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 22? | SELL | 0.1573875 | $2.52 |
| 10-20 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 22? | SELL | 0.51 | $7.14 |
| 10-20 11:56 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in October? | SELL | 0.215 | $1.72 |
| 10-19 17:22 | Will Spirit Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $5.76 |
| 10-19 15:03 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 21? | SELL | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 10-19 12:01 | Walmart (WMT) Q3 US eCommerce sales growth <17%? | SELL | 0.901 | $14.42 |
| 10-19 11:48 | Walmart (WMT) Q3 US eCommerce sales growth 17% to 21%? | SELL | 0.905 | $18.10 |
| 10-19 11:45 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in October? | SELL | 0.912 | $18.24 |
| 10-19 09:40 | Will a player from the Big Ten win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? | SELL | 0.64 | $12.80 |
| 10-19 08:35 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-02 House election by 3%-6%? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.26 |
| 10-19 08:08 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October? | SELL | 0.19 | $3.42 |
| 10-18 22:52 | Will an AL East team win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.735285 | $14.71 |
| 10-18 21:03 | Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 23? | SELL | 0.77 | $15.40 |