0x21252fc2c5d114cdda971b3ed176ce8d857555cd
0x21252fc2c5d114cdda971b3ed176ce8d857555cd
- Realised P&L
- $-573.90
- Volume
- $47.1k
- Markets traded
- 187
- Open portfolio
- $78.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded187
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.40at 0.300Will Roscoe Bellamy advance to the Semifinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?
- +$4.20at 0.300Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?
- +$4.00at 0.300Will Linde (LIN) Q3 sales be above $9.2B?
- +$2.06at 0.300Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?
- +$1.40at 0.300Will Roscoe Bellamy advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 06:42 | Will Riley Newman / Layne Sleeth advance to the Round of 16 in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships? | SELL | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 10-30 23:33 | Will Anna Bright / Hayden Patriquin advance to the Semifinals in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships? | SELL | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 10-30 15:51 | Will Angel Reese win the 2026 WNBA Finals MVP? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.09 |
| 10-30 11:15 | Will Kaitlyn Christian advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships? | SELL | 0.28 | $5.60 |
| 10-30 08:39 | Will Rafael Lenhard advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships? | SELL | 0.48 | $9.60 |
| 10-30 05:43 | Will Kate Fahey advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships? | SELL | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 10-30 05:41 | Will Parris Todd / Andrei Daescu advance to the Round of 16 in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships? | SELL | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 10-29 21:42 | Will Christian Alshon advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships? | SELL | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 10-29 21:42 | Will Catherine Parenteau advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships? | SELL | 0.31 | $6.20 |
| 10-29 20:47 | Will Lacy Schneemann / Ting Chieh Wei advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships? | SELL | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 10-26 22:46 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish as the #1 seed in the 2026-27 NBA Western Conference? | SELL | 0.58 | $1.79 |
| 10-24 14:59 | Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2900 and $4.2999 on October 25? | SELL | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 10-22 01:15 | Will PP win the most seats in Zamora in the 2026 Spanish general election? | SELL | 0.14 | $39.20 |
| 10-19 14:31 | Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2900 and $4.2999 on October 20? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.43 |
| 10-16 20:10 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M? | SELL | 0.42 | $8.40 |