0x212148F9db594E93EBeDef188FbdC614eAB5Ac65-1776883535243
0x212148f9db594e93ebedef188fbdc614eab5ac65
- Realised P&L
- $413.07
- Volume
- $16.2k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $907.85
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.91at 0.932Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?
- +$30.55at 0.817Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
- +$24.19at 0.983Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
- +$24.18at 0.889Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
- +$20.83at 0.927Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 23:36 | Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? | BUY | 0.78 | $85.01 |
| 10-18 09:10 | Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 10-17 10:16 | Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election? | BUY | 0.74 | $37.00 |
| 10-17 10:13 | Will Scott Hamilton win the 2026 Cambridge mayoral election? | BUY | 0.55 | $11.00 |
| 10-16 03:02 | Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | BUY | 0.594 | $29.70 |
| 10-14 02:32 | Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election? | BUY | 0.73 | $14.60 |
| 10-14 02:31 | Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | BUY | 0.74 | $59.20 |
| 10-14 02:29 | Will Patrick Johnstone win the 2026 New Westminster mayoral election? | BUY | 0.74 | $22.20 |
| 10-14 00:19 | Will Dorothy McCabe win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election? | BUY | 0.46 | $9.20 |
| 10-12 21:07 | Will Josh Morgan win the 2026 London mayoral election? | SELL | 0.77 | $38.50 |
| 10-10 23:06 | Will Brenda Locke win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election? | BUY | 0.73 | $58.40 |
| 10-10 23:05 | Will Gord Krantz win the 2026 Milton mayoral election? | BUY | 0.56 | $28.00 |
| 10-10 23:03 | Will Scott Hamilton win the 2026 Cambridge mayoral election? | BUY | 0.65 | $13.00 |
| 10-08 10:39 | Will Josh Morgan win the 2026 London mayoral election? | BUY | 0.82 | $65.60 |
| 10-07 11:11 | Will Patrick Johnstone win the 2026 New Westminster mayoral election? | BUY | 0.61 | $5.35 |