KostenBerg
0x210cc227c71a2b8c7748fa04728380b35cc0d6c1
- Realised P&L
- $8.9k
- Volume
- $349.2k
- Markets traded
- 178
- Open portfolio
- $6.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded178
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.400Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance
- +$2.2kat 0.690Will France win on 2026-06-26?
- +$2.2kat 0.690Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?
- +$2.1kat 0.570Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$2.0kat 0.471Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 13:30 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.1k |
| 09-30 12:29 | Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | BUY | 0.349 | $140.81 |
| 09-30 12:28 | Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | BUY | 0.34828875 | $1.4k |
| 09-30 12:26 | Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | SELL | 0.652 | $101.06 |
| 09-30 12:26 | Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | SELL | 0.666 | $799.20 |
| 09-30 12:25 | Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | SELL | 0.67 | $670.00 |
| 09-29 21:37 | Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | BUY | 0.8439493333 | $1.3k |
| 09-29 21:34 | Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | BUY | 0.8202480958 | $75.38 |
| 09-29 21:33 | Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | BUY | 0.8048333333 | $96.58 |
| 09-29 21:30 | Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | BUY | 0.797133791 | $493.51 |
| 09-03 01:44 | Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B? | BUY | 0.96 | $30.49 |
| 09-03 01:43 | Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B? | BUY | 0.96 | $67.20 |
| 09-03 01:43 | Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B? | BUY | 0.96 | $345.60 |
| 09-02 20:56 | Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B? | BUY | 0.96 | $288.00 |
| 09-02 20:56 | Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B? | BUY | 0.9535582011 | $72.09 |