PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

KostenBerg

0x210cc227c71a2b8c7748fa04728380b35cc0d6c1

Realised P&L
$8.9k
Volume
$349.2k
Markets traded
178
Open portfolio
$6.9k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded178
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-10-15? · Yes0.6701.000$2.3k+$768.39
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · Yes0.3480.288$1.3k−$265.76
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B? · No0.9440.970$1.2k+$32.35
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B? · No0.9600.934$957.86−$26.14
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · No0.9570.990$373.36+$12.26
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · No0.8410.967$315.40+$41.03
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B? · No0.9590.956$207.80−$0.57
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B? · No0.9600.935$116.89−$3.13
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B? · No0.9600.970$85.95+$0.84
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B? · No0.9600.964$30.62+$0.13
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-14? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$1.1k
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3880.000$0.00−$2.5k
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-07-16? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00−$2.4k
Will England win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5250.000$0.00−$1.3k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 13:30Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-14?BUY0.48$1.1k
09-30 12:29Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?BUY0.349$140.81
09-30 12:28Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?BUY0.34828875$1.4k
09-30 12:26Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?SELL0.652$101.06
09-30 12:26Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?SELL0.666$799.20
09-30 12:25Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?SELL0.67$670.00
09-29 21:37Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?BUY0.8439493333$1.3k
09-29 21:34Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?BUY0.8202480958$75.38
09-29 21:33Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?BUY0.8048333333$96.58
09-29 21:30Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?BUY0.797133791$493.51
09-03 01:44Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B?BUY0.96$30.49
09-03 01:43Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B?BUY0.96$67.20
09-03 01:43Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?BUY0.96$345.60
09-02 20:56Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B?BUY0.96$288.00
09-02 20:56Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?BUY0.9535582011$72.09