supercid877
0x210a01762ac86f3cf1585e65be312b5ff064d04e
- Realised P&L
- $-399.89
- Volume
- $90.6k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.735 | 0.635 | $2.7k | −$418.02 |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.007 | $12.50 | −$2.50 |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Ohio? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.004 | $10.71 | −$4.29 |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.007 | $8.55 | +$0.00 |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.005 | $7.86 | −$2.14 |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.006 | $6.89 | −$0.53 |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.011 | $4.38 | −$0.62 |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.085 | $3.54 | −$1.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$750.31at 0.1742024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
- +$500.00at 0.320Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?
- +$296.67at 0.240Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 10.0% or more?
- +$112.74at 0.740Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms?
- +$96.79at 0.501Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 02:32 | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $31.50 |
| 11-02 01:10 | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $31.50 |
| 11-02 01:02 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? | BUY | 0.007 | $3.55 |
| 11-02 01:01 | Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $5.00 |
| 11-02 01:01 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? | BUY | 0.012 | $5.00 |
| 11-02 00:59 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio? | BUY | 0.007 | $10.00 |
| 11-02 00:59 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? | BUY | 0.007 | $5.00 |
| 11-02 00:59 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan? | BUY | 0.007 | $7.42 |
| 11-02 00:58 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio? | BUY | 0.009 | $15.00 |
| 11-02 00:58 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Ohio? | BUY | 0.0056041595 | $15.00 |
| 11-02 00:56 | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $68.90 |
| 10-31 20:14 | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999971 | $75.00 |
| 10-31 06:58 | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999994 | $132.00 |
| 10-31 06:51 | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999998 | $243.00 |
| 10-31 06:50 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | SELL | 0.23 | $238.49 |