Rusty888
0x21083cd164a0ff22060bdfc12637b9843c33d3dd
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $116.5k
- Markets traded
- 565
- Open portfolio
- $5.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded565
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $210 in October? · No | 0.530 | 0.070 | $3.50 | −$23.00 |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $80 in October? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.240 | $1.68 | −$0.91 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$7.69 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 in September? · Yes | 0.448 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.44 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 in October? · No | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.00 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $204 in October? · No | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.02 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $620 in September? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.80 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in September? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.07at 0.630Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $600 in September?
- +$4.11at 0.630Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $185 in September?
- +$2.12at 0.320Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?
- +$1.19at 0.690Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of September 28 2026?
- +$0.56at 0.380Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of August 24 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 15:14 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $80 in October? | SELL | 0.26 | $11.96 |
| 10-09 15:12 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 in October? | SELL | 0.22 | $33.76 |
| 10-09 11:14 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $570 in October? | SELL | 0.28 | $21.66 |
| 10-09 10:09 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 in October? | SELL | 0.32 | $14.00 |
| 10-09 08:02 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $192 in October? | SELL | 0.59 | $11.21 |
| 10-09 08:02 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $820 in October? | SELL | 0.73 | $41.41 |
| 10-09 08:01 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 in October? | SELL | 0.32 | $4.16 |
| 10-09 08:00 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in October? | SELL | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 10-09 07:02 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in October? | SELL | 0.6 | $24.30 |
| 10-09 06:22 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $320 in October? | SELL | 0.29 | $11.60 |
| 10-09 04:16 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $64 in October? | SELL | 0.57 | $13.57 |
| 10-09 03:57 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $64 in October? | SELL | 0.61 | $10.46 |
| 10-09 01:50 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $380 in October? | SELL | 0.33 | $9.85 |
| 10-09 01:49 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 in October? | SELL | 0.54 | $11.73 |
| 10-09 01:48 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $310 in October? | SELL | 0.2 | $4.66 |