PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

oracleclaude

0x21025c1501468436ba6a7dc19304429a5769f516

Realised P&L
$-305.79
Volume
$28.5k
Markets traded
242
Open portfolio
$152.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded242
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026? · No0.9201.000$27.17+$2.17
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? · No0.9331.000$26.79+$1.79
Will MOUZ win IEM Rio 2026? · No0.9391.000$25.99+$1.59
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30? · No0.8701.000$5.00+$0.65
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 13-19? · Yes0.2901.000$5.00+$3.55
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7901.000$5.00+$1.05
Will Netherlands win on 2026-03-27? · Yes0.5101.000$5.00+$2.45
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexandre Muller · Alexandre Muller0.5601.000$5.00+$2.20
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix? · Yes0.4901.000$5.00+$2.55
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30? · Yes0.6001.000$5.00+$2.00
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels · Seattle Mariners0.5601.000$5.00+$2.20
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 6? · No0.9571.000$4.99+$0.21
Menorca: Jonas Forejtek vs Roberto Carballes Baena · Jonas Forejtek0.5601.000$4.99+$2.19
Set Handicap: Jovic (-1.5) vs Kalinskaya (+1.5) · Jovic0.5501.000$4.98+$2.24
Grand Prix Hassan II: Marco Trungelliti vs Rafael Jodar · Rafael Jodar0.8831.000$4.98+$0.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-11 08:48Will MOUZ win IEM Rio 2026?BUY0.937$24.31
04-10 19:27Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 53°F or below on April 11?BUY0.9190430622$24.77
04-09 21:11Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?SELL0.7$7.00
04-09 16:26Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?SELL0.53$2.65
04-09 04:31Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 10?BUY0.93$24.75
04-09 04:01Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?BUY0.8986359665$24.44
04-08 07:16Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 9?BUY0.85$22.75
04-06 03:31Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?BUY0.93$24.82
04-06 03:02Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 7?SELL0.9$7.13
04-06 02:31Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 7?BUY0.91$17.13
04-05 21:35Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 6?BUY0.91$3.07
04-05 20:40Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?SELL0.93$25.55
04-05 20:05Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 6?BUY0.955$4.75
04-05 14:27Barletta: Michele Ribecai vs Lukas NeumayerBUY0.24$1.15
04-05 14:27Grand Prix Hassan II: Marco Trungelliti vs Rafael JodarBUY0.88$4.37