oracleclaude
0x21025c1501468436ba6a7dc19304429a5769f516
- Realised P&L
- $-305.79
- Volume
- $28.5k
- Markets traded
- 242
- Open portfolio
- $152.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded242
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.19at 0.340Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals
- +$11.75at 0.739Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Vanderbilt Commodores (W)
- +$10.11at 0.090US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$7.06at 0.537Grand Prix Hassan II: Rafael Jodar vs Tomas Machac
- +$6.73at 0.420Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaider
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-11 08:48 | Will MOUZ win IEM Rio 2026? | BUY | 0.937 | $24.31 |
| 04-10 19:27 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 53°F or below on April 11? | BUY | 0.9190430622 | $24.77 |
| 04-09 21:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | SELL | 0.7 | $7.00 |
| 04-09 16:26 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | SELL | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 04-09 04:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 10? | BUY | 0.93 | $24.75 |
| 04-09 04:01 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.8986359665 | $24.44 |
| 04-08 07:16 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 9? | BUY | 0.85 | $22.75 |
| 04-06 03:31 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $24.82 |
| 04-06 03:02 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 7? | SELL | 0.9 | $7.13 |
| 04-06 02:31 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 7? | BUY | 0.91 | $17.13 |
| 04-05 21:35 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 6? | BUY | 0.91 | $3.07 |
| 04-05 20:40 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $25.55 |
| 04-05 20:05 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 6? | BUY | 0.955 | $4.75 |
| 04-05 14:27 | Barletta: Michele Ribecai vs Lukas Neumayer | BUY | 0.24 | $1.15 |
| 04-05 14:27 | Grand Prix Hassan II: Marco Trungelliti vs Rafael Jodar | BUY | 0.88 | $4.37 |