numero77
0x2100806b2dafff251907c473971dbd3806df930c
- Realised P&L
- $3.1k
- Volume
- $335.0k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.430 | $387.00 | −$18.00 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.120 | $336.00 | −$56.00 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · No | 0.519 | 0.545 | $281.76 | +$13.56 |
| Nets vs. Celtics · Nets | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.7kat 0.182Thunder vs. Nuggets
- +$782.56at 0.452Hawks vs. Heat
- +$780.00at 0.48076ers vs. Trail Blazers
- +$730.77at 0.306Warriors vs. Clippers
- +$443.51at 0.380Warriors vs. Timberwolves
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 22:56 | Warriors vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.41 | $0.04 |
| 10-27 22:56 | Warriors vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.41 | $4.10 |
| 10-27 22:55 | Warriors vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.41 | $2.07 |
| 10-27 22:46 | Warriors vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.3800210341 | $5.6k |
| 10-24 23:07 | Wizards vs. Bulls | SELL | 0.47 | $4.3k |
| 10-24 17:45 | Wizards vs. Bulls | BUY | 0.47 | $9.4k |
| 09-30 18:48 | Will Jalen Duren play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.2361470939 | $41.56 |
| 09-30 18:46 | Will Jalen Duren play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.245 | $9.80 |
| 09-29 19:28 | Will Jalen Duren play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.2303931778 | $119.82 |
| 09-29 16:16 | Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.519412 | $259.71 |
| 09-29 15:33 | Will Jalen Duren play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.2065852048 | $31.28 |
| 09-28 20:58 | NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? | SELL | 0.0061513957 | $14.15 |
| 09-28 20:47 | Will Jalen Duren play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.2304736842 | $8.76 |
| 09-28 20:44 | Will Jalen Duren play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.2299318182 | $505.85 |
| 09-28 20:29 | Will Jalen Duren play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.079 | $6.32 |