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0x2100006897b2e073fa2973d3d3fab78494d710a6
- Realised P&L
- $-1.01
- Volume
- $233.75
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $5.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in October? · No | 0.990 | 0.993 | $5.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.87at 0.532Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
- +$0.15at 0.999Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?
- +$0.01at 0.997Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- +$0.01at 0.987Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?
- +$0.00at 0.999Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 06:06 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in October? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 03:13 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969998281 | $5.00 |
| 08-20 05:10 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 07-09 13:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $19.22 |
| 07-09 13:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 07-09 13:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 06-23 05:15 | Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $10.00 |
| 05-19 01:36 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 19? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.68 |
| 05-19 01:36 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19? | BUY | 0.9859997614 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 01:36 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $164.00 |