0x20F93368A727C02005545501a711076a39e59577-1777524515657
0x20f93368a727c02005545501a711076a39e59577
- Realised P&L
- $-317.86
- Volume
- $14.9k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $223.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$244.84at 0.740Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$234.65at 0.659Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
- +$129.46at 0.796Will France win on 2026-06-30?
- +$97.79at 0.506Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 26?
- +$92.71at 0.519Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 23:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.7599999908 | $19.79 |
| 09-30 23:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.4884970859 | $97.51 |
| 09-29 23:11 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.7381322541 | $19.76 |
| 09-29 23:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.4897220944 | $88.11 |
| 09-29 23:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.4675198413 | $9.43 |
| 09-29 00:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.6826016838 | $98.52 |
| 09-27 23:12 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.6 | $19.62 |
| 09-27 23:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.5191815314 | $95.15 |
| 09-27 23:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 09-26 23:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.7099999971 | $19.72 |
| 09-25 23:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.4931756142 | $97.56 |
| 09-24 23:15 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.5974154615 | $46.23 |
| 09-24 23:11 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.5859459459 | $43.36 |
| 09-24 23:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.7699999914 | $19.80 |
| 09-24 23:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.56 | $8.40 |