PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x20F93368A727C02005545501a711076a39e59577-1777524515657

0x20f93368a727c02005545501a711076a39e59577

Realised P&L
$-317.86
Volume
$14.9k
Markets traded
87
Open portfolio
$223.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded87
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample49 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)93.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 1? · Yes0.4880.992$197.92+$100.41
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 1? · No0.7601.000$26.03+$6.24
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 9? · Yes0.4980.000$0.00−$97.60
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 13? · Yes0.5460.000$0.00−$70.42
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 16? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$39.21
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 15? · Yes0.3660.000$0.00−$9.69
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 9? · No0.6000.000$0.00−$19.61
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 1? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00−$98.37
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 11? · Yes0.4990.000$0.00−$97.60
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 24? · Yes0.6880.000$0.00−$98.48
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 10? · Yes0.4880.000$0.00−$97.51
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 24? · No0.7400.000$0.00−$19.76
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 16? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$9.66
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 20? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$39.04
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 17? · Yes0.5060.000$0.00−$97.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 23:06Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 1?BUY0.7599999908$19.79
09-30 23:05Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 1?BUY0.4884970859$97.51
09-29 23:11Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 30?BUY0.7381322541$19.76
09-29 23:09Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?BUY0.4897220944$88.11
09-29 23:05Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?BUY0.4675198413$9.43
09-29 00:05Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 29?BUY0.6826016838$98.52
09-27 23:12Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28?BUY0.6$19.62
09-27 23:09Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 28?BUY0.5191815314$95.15
09-27 23:05Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 28?BUY0.51$2.55
09-26 23:06Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 27?BUY0.7099999971$19.72
09-25 23:06Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 26?BUY0.4931756142$97.56
09-24 23:15Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 25?BUY0.5974154615$46.23
09-24 23:11Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 25?BUY0.5859459459$43.36
09-24 23:06Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 25?BUY0.7699999914$19.80
09-24 23:05Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 25?BUY0.56$8.40