0x20f2ef6a5976d72bc92e79863b6502480c0e3bf5
0x20f2ef6a5976d72bc92e79863b6502480c0e3bf5
- Realised P&L
- $11.77
- Volume
- $148.32
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $7.60
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · No | 0.590 | 0.958 | $1.62 | +$0.62 |
| Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.470 | 0.580 | $1.23 | +$0.23 |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15? · No | 0.780 | 0.900 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.685 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.490 | 0.505 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.630 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.165 | $0.52 | −$0.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.42at 0.237Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.288Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$2.37at 0.308Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $204 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$2.26at 0.319SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?
- +$1.61at 0.389Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 18:21 | Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 09:45 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 01:23 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 11:59 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 23:26 | Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 07:51 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 23:50 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 15:48 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 07:33 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 23:33 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:29 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:11 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,140 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:16 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 05:40 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 11:51 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |