Tortfeasor
0x20ed048421fddad3df9fec3b2c7610a27ab40231
- Realised P&L
- $-45.14
- Volume
- $7.8k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $11.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.75at 0.013Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?
- +$14.57at 0.004Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
- +$12.76at 0.002Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
- +$12.56at 0.191Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
- +$9.75at 0.004Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-22 21:58 | Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? | BUY | 0.239 | $2.51 |
| 03-22 21:57 | Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%? | BUY | 0.396 | $3.96 |
| 02-16 21:28 | Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? | BUY | 0.1347551394 | $10.00 |
| 01-19 00:53 | Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $5.37 |
| 01-19 00:49 | Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | SELL | 0.37 | $28.46 |
| 01-19 00:42 | Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | BUY | 0.3899999902 | $20.00 |
| 01-19 00:41 | Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | BUY | 0.3899999902 | $20.00 |
| 01-19 00:40 | Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | BUY | 0.3899999902 | $20.00 |
| 01-12 16:05 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | SELL | 0.2277274177 | $78.53 |
| 01-12 16:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January? | SELL | 0.3176885475 | $18.20 |
| 01-11 16:41 | Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.048999954 | $1.00 |
| 01-10 15:12 | Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | BUY | 0.2599999742 | $7.06 |
| 01-10 03:02 | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $4.45 |
| 01-09 04:00 | Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $2.61 |
| 01-07 23:25 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | BUY | 0.1913005655 | $65.97 |