hit-man2
0x20ec7480905cf1e9f7a0468c8784a1756344aad1
- Realised P&L
- $-5.13
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 160
- Open portfolio
- $10.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded160
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 22 million views on day 2? · Yes | 0.970 | 0.987 | $10.17 | +$0.17 |
| Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1? · Yes | 0.594 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET · Down | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET · Down | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will MrBeast say "Survive" during his next YouTube video? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.87at 0.778T20 Series England vs India: England vs India
- +$4.79at 0.671Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 31 million views on day 4?
- +$4.69at 0.826ODI Series England vs India: England vs India
- +$4.14at 0.718Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
- +$4.01at 0.434Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 10:13 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 22 million views on day 2? | BUY | 0.9702152605 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 04:11 | Asian Games Men: India vs Afghanistan | SELL | 0.62 | $2.57 |
| 09-28 01:51 | Asian Games Men: India vs Afghanistan | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 13:54 | Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri Lanka | BUY | 0.9399999906 | $4.00 |
| 09-27 13:38 | Australia Tour of South Africa ODIs: South Africa vs Australia | SELL | 0.45 | $0.63 |
| 09-27 12:50 | Australia Tour of South Africa ODIs: South Africa vs Australia | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 11:50 | Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri Lanka | BUY | 0.88 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 11:15 | Asian Games Men: India vs Afghanistan | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 09:27 | Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri Lanka | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 09:26 | West Indies Tour of India ODIs: India vs West Indies | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 08:05 | Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri Lanka | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 08:04 | West Indies Tour of India ODIs: India vs West Indies | BUY | 0.8899999555 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 13:03 | Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri Lanka | BUY | 0.8299999613 | $3.00 |
| 09-26 13:01 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $18.08 |
| 09-26 03:18 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.6699999611 | $5.00 |