vad2015v
0x20ea038511572889f766e23cb4f82929ed840d11
- Realised P&L
- $-164.42
- Volume
- $36.7k
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $281.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.408 | 0.335 | $122.93 | −$26.96 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.117 | 0.065 | $118.83 | −$95.34 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5? · Up | 0.488 | 0.595 | $23.80 | +$4.27 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on August 5? · Down | 0.509 | 0.435 | $17.40 | −$2.95 |
| XRP Up or Down on July 27? · Up | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.45 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? · Down | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 23? · Up | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.95 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on August 3? · Down | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.75 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27? · Up | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.40 |
| Dogecoin Up or Down on July 25? · Down | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.40 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? · Up | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11AM ET · Down | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.22at 0.457Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$43.19at 0.490Ethereum Up or Down on August 1?
- +$37.22at 0.547Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
- +$23.45at 0.640Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 8?
- +$22.32at 0.232Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:05 | Ethereum Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.51 | $17.75 |
| 08-04 15:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5? | SELL | 0.49 | $8.82 |
| 08-04 15:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.06 |
| 08-04 14:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.10 |
| 08-04 14:50 | Ethereum Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.83 | $24.90 |
| 08-03 18:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $17.34 |
| 08-03 16:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $5.27 |
| 08-03 09:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.19 | $8.55 |
| 08-02 09:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2? | BUY | 0.2 | $7.00 |
| 08-02 09:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.14 | $14.00 |
| 08-02 06:03 | Ethereum Up or Down on August 2? | BUY | 0.64 | $19.20 |
| 08-01 14:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.38 |
| 08-01 13:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | SELL | 0.58 | $2.89 |
| 08-01 05:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 08-01 05:31 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |