PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

vad2015v

0x20ea038511572889f766e23cb4f82929ed840d11

Realised P&L
$304.58
Volume
$70.4k
Markets traded
255
Open portfolio
$273.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded255
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5900.805$80.50+$21.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3530.285$65.55$15.65
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.2870.195$58.50$27.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5300.715$21.45+$5.55
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3900.595$17.85+$6.15
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 19? · Up0.5000.895$13.43+$5.92
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5800.405$12.15$5.25
Ethereum Up or Down on September 19? · Down0.0200.016$1.60$0.40
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 21? · No0.0010.007$1.37+$1.18
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 19? · Yes0.0320.017$0.94$0.89
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 19? · No0.0050.003$0.25$0.25
Solana Up or Down on September 16? · Up0.5000.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 19? · Down0.5000.000$0.00$4.75
Ethereum Up or Down on August 15? · Down0.4800.000$0.00$4.03
XRP Up or Down on September 14? · Down0.5000.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 15:01Bitcoin Up or Down on September 13?SELL0.12689$25.38
09-13 14:58Ethereum Up or Down on September 13?SELL0.003$1.20
09-12 15:25Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12?SELL0.002$0.30
09-12 12:59Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on September 12?BUY0.9$90.00
09-12 07:09Ethereum Up or Down on September 12?BUY0.978$97.80
09-11 17:11Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.6$0.26
09-10 13:24Dogecoin Up or Down on September 10?SELL0.02$0.20
09-10 13:24XRP Up or Down on September 10?SELL0.01$0.10
09-09 16:45Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 10?BUY0.295$5.90
09-08 14:48Ethereum Up or Down on September 8?SELL0.18$9.00
09-08 14:48Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?SELL0.815816$122.37
09-08 14:05Ethereum Up or Down on September 8?SELL0.298$14.90
09-08 14:05Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?BUY0.9418$94.18
09-07 16:11Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?BUY0.5$75.00
09-07 16:01Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?BUY0.5$25.50