0x20Db00c274584D8e7Ae738Af030A5E534B05945d-1780932578098
0x20db00c274584d8e7ae738af030a5e534b05945d
- Realised P&L
- $-2.56
- Volume
- $755.76
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $169.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.95at 0.590Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$5.75at 0.582Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$4.03at 0.570Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
- +$3.51at 0.740Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
- +$2.31at 0.840US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 11:58 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.9399999981 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 13:50 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 14:33 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | BUY | 0.7399999896 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 14:30 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | SELL | 0.8 | $14.03 |
| 07-20 14:03 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999862 | $20.00 |
| 07-20 14:01 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1986465928 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 14:55 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 14:50 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5899999947 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 14:45 | US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.989 | $15.30 |
| 07-16 15:26 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5819999894 | $8.00 |
| 07-16 15:24 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.989 | $7.27 |
| 07-14 11:38 | US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999948 | $13.00 |
| 07-05 19:22 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | BUY | 0.5699999966 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 19:20 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 06-30 12:00 | Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.7969999838 | $6.00 |