SuperGregos
0x20d3f5a712d502ddfcd5b2a6df32649dbd0c634e
- Realised P&L
- $692.49
- Volume
- $21.7k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $3.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.499 | 0.735 | $1.8k | +$567.01 |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes | 0.499 | 0.435 | $1.5k | −$223.43 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$624.00 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? · Yes | 0.247 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$396.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.2kat 0.336Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?
- +$-1.5kat 0.490Will 'Sing Sing' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 06:31 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.48 | $240.00 |
| 10-22 06:30 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.48 | $142.56 |
| 10-20 18:01 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.46 | $52.90 |
| 05-18 12:20 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.48 | $144.00 |
| 05-18 12:16 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.48 | $144.00 |
| 05-16 19:30 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.46 | $138.00 |
| 05-16 11:30 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.47 | $141.00 |
| 04-25 12:07 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.53 | $318.00 |
| 08-17 20:37 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.34 | $221.00 |
| 03-04 16:12 | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BUY | 0.24 | $96.00 |
| 02-06 17:29 | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.29 |
| 02-02 17:56 | Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? | BUY | 0.3362036658 | $1.7k |