MONA123
0x20cda8c30cd33d04bb0b1540accb83051e34e9bb
- Realised P&L
- $-126.17
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $68.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Major CEX insolvent in 2026? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.038 | $51.91 | −$8.03 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.042 | $12.42 | +$0.59 |
| Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026? · No | 0.400 | 0.810 | $4.05 | +$2.05 |
| Will Genta Koja win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election? · No | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.39 |
| Will Denny Tamaki win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.321 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$115.49 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.54at 0.013Will $LAPTOP reach $20 by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 10:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $11.83 |
| 10-30 04:33 | Major CEX insolvent in 2026? | BUY | 0.0444519916 | $59.83 |
| 09-10 14:17 | Will Genta Koja win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.33 | $5.39 |
| 09-10 14:16 | Will Denny Tamaki win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.33 | $50.73 |
| 09-10 14:15 | Will Denny Tamaki win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.31 | $5.98 |
| 09-09 16:55 | Will $LAPTOP reach $20 by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.012 | $3.00 |
| 09-09 01:32 | Will Denny Tamaki win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.31 | $6.20 |
| 05-10 18:25 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.22 |
| 05-10 18:16 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.60 |