0x20b594710a68ff9931e35b86519b74485c2e0b15
0x20b594710a68ff9931e35b86519b74485c2e0b15
- Realised P&L
- $-4.10
- Volume
- $59.21
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $3.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.660 | $0.87 | −$0.13 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · No | 0.610 | 0.525 | $0.86 | −$0.14 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.185 | $0.84 | −$0.16 |
| Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%? · No | 0.440 | 0.280 | $0.64 | −$0.36 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 in September? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.495 | $0.56 | −$0.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.83at 0.552Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?
- +$0.57at 0.639Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $205 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$0.56at 0.640Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?
- +$0.48at 0.681Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
- +$0.45at 0.691Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 18:11 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 09:07 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 00:37 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 in September? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 03:43 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $205 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 07:31 | Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 07:31 | Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 11:30 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 15:05 | Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 06:58 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:56 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 01:20 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 15:16 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:11 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 22:57 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 14:22 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |