0x20B3CEd31867Cc967F36be893e3be4998C6C0E11-1762350262802
0x20b3ced31867cc967f36be893e3be4998c6c0e11
- Realised P&L
- $-512.52
- Volume
- $46.3k
- Markets traded
- 255
- Open portfolio
- $29.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded255
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.345 | $17.69 | −$2.31 |
| Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5) · Chelsea FC | 0.200 | 0.115 | $11.50 | −$8.50 |
| Matheus Cunha: 1+ assists · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Désiré Doué: 1+ assists · Yes | 0.232 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Exact Score: Australia 0 - 3 Egypt? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Morocco? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.233 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| The Hundred: Birmingham Phoenix vs Trent Rockets · Trent Rockets | 0.167 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad · Sunrisers Hyderabad | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will England win? · Yes | 0.509 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$110.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$364.20at 0.352Major League Cricket: San Francisco Unicorns vs Texas Super Kings
- +$271.93at 0.086T20 Series Ireland vs India: Ireland vs India
- +$209.44at 0.114Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$179.65at 0.174Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?
- +$161.30at 0.387ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs India
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 11:18 | Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 09-18 11:17 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 15:32 | Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.4699999986 | $105.00 |
| 09-04 09:58 | Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.4299999979 | $50.00 |
| 09-04 09:55 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.4899999991 | $100.00 |
| 08-26 15:14 | Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.2699999937 | $30.00 |
| 08-23 14:49 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23? | SELL | 0.21 | $10.00 |
| 08-23 14:25 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23? | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $10.00 |
| 08-23 14:25 | Will Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3399999857 | $10.00 |
| 08-23 14:03 | Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) | SELL | 0.1216647998 | $8.69 |
| 08-23 14:02 | Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.1399999888 | $10.00 |
| 08-23 13:18 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.9 | $114.70 |
| 08-23 11:55 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5099999977 | $65.00 |
| 08-22 16:26 | Will Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999966 | $50.00 |
| 08-22 15:43 | Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.4131107111 | $22.95 |