0x20B0990c6454C916
0x20b0990c6454c91671ea05ff7a447a3bc26fbc83
- Realised P&L
- $-1.23
- Volume
- $123.1k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $7.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by December 31? · No | 0.989 | 0.949 | $7.47 | −$0.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.33at 0.955Jones-Aspinall date announced before February?
- +$0.29at 0.961Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
- +$0.22at 0.992Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $540 end of November?
- +$0.14at 0.960Will weed be rescheduled in 2024?
- +$0.14at 0.999Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 09:15 | Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by December 31? | BUY | 0.9891264158 | $7.79 |
| 09-10 09:15 | Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.981 | $7.55 |
| 08-04 09:41 | Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $7.55 |
| 08-04 09:40 | Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.962 | $4.40 |
| 07-26 09:56 | Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9639999414 | $4.41 |
| 06-03 04:41 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | BUY | 0.9879999537 | $7.25 |
| 06-03 04:41 | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | SELL | 0.972 | $5.06 |
| 05-13 11:50 | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.9469999929 | $4.94 |
| 05-13 11:50 | Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $8.10 |
| 04-03 03:01 | Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.995 | $8.08 |
| 03-17 05:59 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the April meeting? | SELL | 0.961 | $8.08 |
| 02-26 11:46 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the April meeting? | BUY | 0.987999999 | $8.31 |
| 02-26 11:46 | Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.996 | $8.31 |
| 02-09 04:34 | Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.9609999975 | $8.02 |
| 01-31 10:01 | Will the price of Solana be above $130 on February 1? | BUY | 0.9909999999 | $7.95 |