alina11
0x20ae9c6b3245997d064b0c445d5505c04831fa6a
- Realised P&L
- $-269.18
- Volume
- $32.5k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $24.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.110 | $24.89 | −$52.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.94at 0.883Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$42.88at 0.900Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?
- +$11.60at 0.942Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
- +$3.21at 0.930Raptors vs. Thunder
- +$3.20at 0.948Will Yoweri Kaguta Museveni win the 2026 Ugandan presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-10 11:39 | Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3399999984 | $76.93 |
| 02-18 11:28 | Will "I Can Only Imagine 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 10m? | BUY | 0.6083300455 | $390.00 |
| 02-03 09:00 | Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8827756375 | $428.82 |
| 01-12 07:27 | Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31? | BUY | 0.8999936802 | $385.93 |
| 01-12 07:27 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.997 | $385.94 |
| 01-06 08:19 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.995 | $385.17 |
| 01-06 08:18 | Will Yoweri Kaguta Museveni win the 2026 Ugandan presidential election? | SELL | 0.9654184444 | $173.78 |
| 11-04 11:11 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 7? | BUY | 0.9839999996 | $21.00 |
| 11-04 11:10 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 7? | BUY | 0.9852152805 | $125.55 |
| 11-04 11:09 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | SELL | 0.988 | $2.1k |
| 11-03 14:03 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.989 | $2.1k |
| 11-03 14:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.986 | $2.1k |
| 11-03 13:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9869999997 | $2.1k |
| 11-03 13:30 | Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.987 | $2.1k |
| 11-03 12:55 | Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.989 | $2.1k |