0x20ad085274b280aa032bf6ab99abe6d766a6f368
- Realised P&L
- $-374.24
- Volume
- $69.3k
- Markets traded
- 189
- Open portfolio
- $697.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded189
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-07? · No | 0.115 | 1.000 | $339.43 | +$300.50 |
| Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-08-07? · Yes | 0.360 | 1.000 | $139.00 | +$89.00 |
| Will CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi end in a draw? · No | 0.565 | 1.000 | $88.55 | +$38.55 |
| Will Columbus Crew vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw? · No | 0.605 | 1.000 | $82.69 | +$32.69 |
| Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-08-07? · No | 0.520 | 1.000 | $48.08 | +$23.08 |
| Will FC Juárez win on 2026-08-07? · No | 0.524 | 0.001 | $0.07 | −$74.93 |
| Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Juárez end in a draw? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.001 | $0.04 | −$6.35 |
| Will Tigres de la UANL vs. Minnesota United FC end in a draw? · No | 0.660 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$24.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$337.46at 0.192Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-01?
- +$238.76at 0.460Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?
- +$227.85at 0.410Will CF Montréal win on 2026-07-25?
- +$212.15at 0.414Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. SC Internacional end in a draw?
- +$206.60at 0.129Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 01:40 | Will CA Huracán vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw? | BUY | 0.52 | $9.81 |
| 08-04 01:40 | Will CA Huracán vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw? | BUY | 0.53 | $9.47 |
| 07-26 03:13 | Will Portland Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw? | SELL | 0.75 | $22.23 |
| 07-26 02:59 | Will Portland Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw? | SELL | 0.17 | $23.11 |
| 07-26 02:58 | Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-07-25? | SELL | 0.16 | $10.68 |
| 07-26 02:58 | Will Portland Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw? | SELL | 0.1937366046 | $27.48 |
| 07-26 02:51 | Will FC Dallas win on 2026-07-25? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.27 |
| 07-26 02:18 | Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-07-25? | SELL | 0.29 | $5.56 |
| 07-26 01:13 | Will CF Montréal win on 2026-07-25? | SELL | 0.91 | $138.26 |
| 07-26 00:15 | Will Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati end in a draw? | SELL | 0.1020664573 | $12.35 |
| 07-26 00:12 | Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-07-25? | SELL | 0.2491789179 | $24.92 |
| 07-26 00:09 | Will Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati end in a draw? | SELL | 0.7 | $24.60 |
| 07-25 23:36 | Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-07-25? | SELL | 0.46 | $51.90 |
| 07-25 22:49 | Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-07-25? | SELL | 0.07 | $2.77 |
| 07-23 18:21 | Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-07-23? | SELL | 0.6020705465 | $81.42 |