laurawalters
0x20ac02abc12407c01c9aa4ba334607191897f43c
- Realised P&L
- $104.91
- Volume
- $11.6k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $58.29
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 15%-20%? · No | 0.770 | 0.815 | $34.76 | +$1.92 |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima · Brandon Nakashima | 0.540 | 0.525 | $23.53 | −$0.67 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$132.65at 0.290Will Elon tweet 650-674 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?
- +$70.79at 0.440Will Real Madrid win La Liga?
- +$9.81at 0.758Will Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?
- +$9.70at 0.570Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 7?
- +$9.40at 0.530Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 00:07 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | BUY | 0.5399999978 | $24.20 |
| 01-31 14:12 | Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.9849999992 | $12.93 |
| 01-31 13:48 | Will Hyperliquid hit $38 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.86 |
| 01-30 15:48 | Will XRP dip to $1.20 in January? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $12.18 |
| 01-30 15:08 | Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $12.90 |
| 01-30 14:11 | Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.66 |
| 12-30 10:08 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999221 | $9.79 |
| 12-30 01:23 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.48 |
| 12-29 23:21 | Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.95 |
| 12-29 22:40 | Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.77 |
| 12-29 21:59 | Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $51.94 |
| 10-30 19:58 | Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.12 |
| 10-30 19:03 | Will Google have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.9879999999 | $35.72 |
| 09-29 16:16 | Will Mistral AI have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.39 |
| 09-29 04:27 | Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in September? | BUY | 0.9989999817 | $17.66 |