PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x74C50B891f32B5942E8ceA319fd4E76e9fA94f62-1769947549024

0x20abbd7a2e25d9802cf2373fe8d402647dc99740

Realised P&L
$18.30
Volume
$167.30
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$32.34

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar10.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration63.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will anyone say "Veto" 5+ times during Big Brother E35? · Yes0.5160.504$17.59$0.41
Will anyone say "Family" during Big Brother E35? · Yes0.2800.505$9.02+$4.02
Will anyone say "Blood" during Big Brother E35? · No0.8800.505$5.74$4.26
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 11? · Yes0.4350.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 08:47Will anyone say "Blood" during Big Brother E35?BUY0.8799999965$10.00
09-17 08:46Will anyone say "Family" during Big Brother E35?BUY0.2799999978$5.00
09-17 08:45Will anyone say "Veto" 5+ times during Big Brother E35?BUY0.5163284656$18.00
09-17 03:232026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.6$11.32
09-15 05:26Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?BUY0.28$7.00
09-15 05:252026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.5299999868$10.00
09-13 00:10Ohio State vs. TexasBUY0.4499999772$7.88
09-10 07:06Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 11?BUY0.4352126556$10.00