0x74C50B891f32B5942E8ceA319fd4E76e9fA94f62-1769947549024
0x20abbd7a2e25d9802cf2373fe8d402647dc99740
- Realised P&L
- $18.30
- Volume
- $167.30
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $32.34
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar10.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will anyone say "Veto" 5+ times during Big Brother E35? · Yes | 0.516 | 0.504 | $17.59 | −$0.41 |
| Will anyone say "Family" during Big Brother E35? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.505 | $9.02 | +$4.02 |
| Will anyone say "Blood" during Big Brother E35? · No | 0.880 | 0.505 | $5.74 | −$4.26 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 11? · Yes | 0.435 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.80at 0.288Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$9.41at 0.462Ohio State vs. Texas
- +$0.95at 0.5402026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 08:47 | Will anyone say "Blood" during Big Brother E35? | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 08:46 | Will anyone say "Family" during Big Brother E35? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 08:45 | Will anyone say "Veto" 5+ times during Big Brother E35? | BUY | 0.5163284656 | $18.00 |
| 09-17 03:23 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.6 | $11.32 |
| 09-15 05:26 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.28 | $7.00 |
| 09-15 05:25 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 00:10 | Ohio State vs. Texas | BUY | 0.4499999772 | $7.88 |
| 09-10 07:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.4352126556 | $10.00 |