oiyuyyk
0x20abbb5f65e3ff91fe65df9cdddd60b113c500cd
- Realised P&L
- $153.95
- Volume
- $11.9k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $169.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? · No | 0.986 | 0.983 | $99.74 | −$0.26 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? · No | 0.986 | 0.986 | $70.00 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.07at 0.600Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$34.29at 0.840Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
- +$22.72at 0.873Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?
- +$9.84at 0.976Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3900 on August 6?
- +$7.68at 0.950Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 10:32 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.9859999973 | $70.00 |
| 09-18 10:32 | Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.9856057575 | $100.00 |
| 08-13 08:02 | Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.9859999999 | $81.00 |
| 08-13 08:02 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.986 | $80.00 |
| 07-20 05:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July? | BUY | 0.99 | $146.00 |
| 07-20 05:33 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | BUY | 0.989 | $166.00 |
| 07-20 05:31 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31? | BUY | 0.993 | $140.00 |
| 07-20 05:30 | Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $135.00 |
| 06-17 15:16 | Iran coup attempt by June 30? | BUY | 0.987 | $200.00 |
| 06-03 07:40 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY | 0.983 | $180.00 |
| 06-03 07:39 | Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | BUY | 0.986 | $190.00 |
| 06-03 07:38 | Netanyahu out by June 30? | BUY | 0.972 | $210.00 |
| 05-02 11:37 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | BUY | 0.9819999999 | $190.00 |
| 05-02 11:35 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.9759999971 | $180.00 |
| 04-28 04:58 | Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $202.00 |