0x20a419b0017252c560338abeeae9128e875e5c44
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $1.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration49.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "The Fall of El Mayo: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.030 | $1.83 | +$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.60at 0.070Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 34m?
- +$2.86at 0.620Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the #1 US song this week?
- +$0.84at 0.760Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?
- +$-1.05at 0.330Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the #2 US song this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:02 | Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the #2 US song this week? | SELL | 0.26 | $3.90 |