PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x20A276ff4515305c46e6AA1E16dA87c1A0001D6d-1779843075025

0x20a276ff4515305c46e6aa1e16da87c1a0001d6d

Realised P&L
$-33.44
Volume
$653.51
Markets traded
58
Open portfolio
$1.44

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded58
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or below on October 17? · Yes0.5700.560$0.98−$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 17? · Yes0.0450.042$0.46−$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 22:39Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 17?BUY0.0454578755$0.50
10-16 22:35Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or below on October 17?BUY0.5699999886$1.00
10-14 11:14Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 14?BUY0.5799999768$1.00
10-13 12:21Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 14?BUY0.1799999856$1.00
07-10 22:08Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 12?BUY0.2899998666$1.00
07-10 22:06Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 12?BUY0.3899998479$1.00
07-09 22:40Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 11?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
07-09 18:32Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 11?SELL0.35$0.97
07-09 18:30Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 11?BUY0.3599998704$1.00
07-09 18:29Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 11?BUY0.3299997822$1.00
06-22 11:06Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 24?BUY0.1799998704$1.00
06-16 10:25Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 17?BUY0.4499997975$1.00
06-16 10:25Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 16?BUY0.4799998272$1.00
06-12 15:52Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on June 14?BUY0.29999982$1.00
06-12 15:52Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 14?BUY0.3899998479$1.00