0x20A276ff4515305c46e6AA1E16dA87c1A0001D6d-1779843075025
0x20a276ff4515305c46e6aa1e16da87c1a0001d6d
- Realised P&L
- $-33.44
- Volume
- $653.51
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $1.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or below on October 17? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.560 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 17? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.042 | $0.46 | −$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.47at 0.195Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 7?
- +$3.15at 0.404Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 3?
- +$2.37at 0.312Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 4?
- +$2.26at 0.322Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 11?
- +$1.26at 0.459Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 22:39 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.0454578755 | $0.50 |
| 10-16 22:35 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or below on October 17? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 11:14 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 12:21 | Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 22:08 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 12? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 22:06 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 12? | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 22:40 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 11? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 18:32 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 11? | SELL | 0.35 | $0.97 |
| 07-09 18:30 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 11? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 18:29 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 11? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 06-22 11:06 | Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 24? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 06-16 10:25 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 17? | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $1.00 |
| 06-16 10:25 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 16? | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 15:52 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on June 14? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 15:52 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 14? | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |