yibangss
0x209b558d84e4b7ca014179386e03eef720e45344
- Realised P&L
- $-30.69
- Volume
- $38.5k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $118.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will XRP reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.997 | 0.992 | $118.05 | −$0.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.15at 0.979Will XRP reach $3.80 in November?
- +$0.83at 0.988Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?
- +$0.60at 0.995Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?
- +$0.53at 0.989Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
- +$0.47at 0.996Will XRP reach $3.20 in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-10 18:20 | Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | BUY | 0.9889999914 | $48.00 |
| 12-10 18:20 | Will Solana reach $260 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9879999987 | $68.00 |
| 11-11 14:43 | Will XRP reach $3.80 in November? | BUY | 0.979 | $100.00 |
| 10-20 02:50 | Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October? | SELL | 0.966 | $275.31 |
| 10-19 16:39 | Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October? | BUY | 0.97 | $8.4k |
| 10-19 16:26 | Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October? | BUY | 0.971 | $110.14 |
| 10-19 16:26 | Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October? | BUY | 0.971 | $8.4k |
| 07-05 17:01 | Will Karen Khachanov win Wimbledon 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.44 |
| 06-10 17:10 | Will Trump announce Judy Shelton as next Fed Chair? | BUY | 0.977 | $99.58 |
| 05-30 13:58 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.68 |
| 05-14 15:03 | Will federal spending decrease by $500-750b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025? | BUY | 0.993 | $99.45 |
| 05-09 12:39 | Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Indianapolis Colts? | BUY | 0.997 | $99.18 |
| 04-21 13:45 | Will Silviu Predoiu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff? | BUY | 0.994 | $99.43 |
| 03-28 14:50 | Will Bayer Leverkusen win the Bundesliga? | BUY | 0.954 | $99.67 |
| 03-03 09:04 | Will Bayer Leverkusen win the Bundesliga? | BUY | 0.9699999982 | $99.69 |