simmioi
0x20986be19e124023d876c58c4a0fac22283bc8ae
- Realised P&L
- $3.6k
- Volume
- $99.3k
- Markets traded
- 127
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded127
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$848.22at 0.637MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
- +$824.97at 0.289Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
- +$353.75at 0.540Infinex FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$305.80at 0.089Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$237.57at 0.429Will Dharmendra be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 18:03 | Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.700521875 | $112.08 |
| 07-11 18:02 | Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.47 | $0.47 |
| 07-11 18:02 | Dreamcash FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.39 | $3.68 |
| 07-03 09:31 | GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4599999939 | $30.00 |
| 07-01 14:17 | GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4600574985 | $70.00 |
| 07-01 14:14 | Arc FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7539659202 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 14:14 | Arc FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.55 | $3.85 |
| 06-26 13:49 | Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.76 | $30.40 |
| 06-26 06:02 | 3Jane FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.12 | $7.20 |
| 06-26 06:01 | Arc FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.71 | $4.26 |
| 06-26 06:01 | Arc FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.713792 | $17.84 |
| 06-26 06:00 | Arc FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.71 | $7.81 |
| 06-26 05:55 | Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.57 | $0.57 |
| 06-26 05:53 | 3Jane FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1217228253 | $5.00 |
| 06-26 05:51 | 3Jane FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5 | $92.50 |