PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

simmioi

0x20986be19e124023d876c58c4a0fac22283bc8ae

Realised P&L
$3.6k
Volume
$99.3k
Markets traded
127
Open portfolio
$3.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded127
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration81.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.3140.855$1.6k+$1.0k
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? · No0.6870.735$718.92+$46.94
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.6750.932$352.70+$97.07
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.7100.865$328.70+$58.90
3Jane FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.4790.670$257.95+$73.45
Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.8800.400$80.00$96.00
Arc FDV above $4B one day after launch? · No0.7120.755$31.71+$1.80
Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.6000.560$22.40$1.60
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.4550.375$15.00$3.20
Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.6600.420$8.40$4.80
Arc FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.5820.640$5.33+$0.48
Hyperbeat FDV above $10M one day after launch? · Yes0.6500.230$4.60$8.40
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? · No0.8700.000$0.00$19.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-11 18:03Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch?SELL0.700521875$112.08
07-11 18:02Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.47$0.47
07-11 18:02Dreamcash FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.39$3.68
07-03 09:31GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.4599999939$30.00
07-01 14:17GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.4600574985$70.00
07-01 14:14Arc FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.7539659202$1.00
07-01 14:14Arc FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.55$3.85
06-26 13:49Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch?SELL0.76$30.40
06-26 06:023Jane FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.12$7.20
06-26 06:01Arc FDV above $4B one day after launch?BUY0.71$4.26
06-26 06:01Arc FDV above $4B one day after launch?BUY0.713792$17.84
06-26 06:00Arc FDV above $4B one day after launch?BUY0.71$7.81
06-26 05:55Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.57$0.57
06-26 05:533Jane FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.1217228253$5.00
06-26 05:513Jane FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.5$92.50