badold
0x20946735e435cb46ca0992b6081845ba9098bf3c
- Realised P&L
- $324.98
- Volume
- $39.9k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$93.71at 0.948Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?
- +$55.35at 0.946Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$36.93at 0.969Will Bitcoin reach $150K in August?
- +$33.34at 0.960Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$21.51at 0.960Will Ethereum reach $6000 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-10 07:56 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $1000.00 |
| 08-10 07:36 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | SELL | 0.973 | $203.35 |
| 08-10 07:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.981 | $1.6k |
| 08-10 07:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.978 | $111.93 |
| 05-12 08:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 05-12 08:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 05-12 08:07 | Will Trump visit China by June 30? | SELL | 0.995 | $7.67 |
| 03-23 07:42 | Will Trump visit China by June 30? | BUY | 0.6599999741 | $5.09 |
| 03-23 07:41 | Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1199999127 | $1.10 |
| 02-25 07:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699998257 | $1.10 |
| 02-25 05:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.946 | $1.6k |
| 02-25 05:35 | US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.3287015428 | $2.00 |
| 02-25 05:34 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.89 |
| 01-28 07:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999965 | $105.30 |
| 01-28 07:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.43999999 | $10.55 |