PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

badold

0x20946735e435cb46ca0992b6081845ba9098bf3c

Realised P&L
$324.98
Volume
$39.9k
Markets traded
72
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded72
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9920.996$1.0k+$4.03
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4400.055$1.32$9.23
StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch? · Yes0.0700.026$1.14$1.94
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1600.046$0.84$2.05
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2700.095$0.39$0.71
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET · Down0.2000.000$0.00$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January? · Yes0.1110.000$0.00$5.00
Will Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during Saudi PM events on November 18? · No0.5500.000$0.00$2.00
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October? · Yes0.2360.000$0.00$1.00
US x China tariff agreement by November 10? · No0.2400.000$0.00$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1AM ET · Down0.3700.000$0.00$1.24
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? · No0.1300.000$0.00$1.50
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 2AM ET · Up0.2400.000$0.00$2.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-10 07:56Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.992$1000.00
08-10 07:36Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?SELL0.973$203.35
08-10 07:36Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.981$1.6k
08-10 07:35Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.978$111.93
05-12 08:10Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?BUY0.4$2.00
05-12 08:08Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETBUY0.4899998285$1.00
05-12 08:07Will Trump visit China by June 30?SELL0.995$7.67
03-23 07:42Will Trump visit China by June 30?BUY0.6599999741$5.09
03-23 07:41Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.1199999127$1.10
02-25 07:31Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2699998257$1.10
02-25 05:36Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.946$1.6k
02-25 05:35US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?BUY0.3287015428$2.00
02-25 05:34Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.16$2.89
01-28 07:19Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9199999965$105.30
01-28 07:19Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.43999999$10.55