PLLP
0x2092a375f7adb286c13ba79e9c3994aef731a752
- Realised P&L
- $-290.11
- Volume
- $11.5k
- Markets traded
- 136
- Open portfolio
- $69.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded136
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.805 | $40.25 | +$1.75 |
| Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election? · No | 0.700 | 0.920 | $18.40 | +$4.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 18? · No | 0.740 | 0.515 | $10.30 | −$4.50 |
| Will Helena da Asatur win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election? · Yes | 0.285 | 0.013 | $0.25 | −$5.45 |
| Will Pierre Chanel Tutugoro be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.00 |
| Will Keaton Verhoeff be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.20 |
| Will Carson Carels be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.20 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.50 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7? · No | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.00at 0.180Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
- +$7.75at 0.600Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
- +$7.50at 0.250Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
- +$6.59at 0.499Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?
- +$4.78at 0.280Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above $40B?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 16:21 | Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | SELL | 0.045 | $0.90 |
| 09-15 16:20 | Will Mohammed Umaru Bago win the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 09-15 16:20 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election by 0%-5%? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 09-15 16:20 | Will Renan win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election? | SELL | 0.34 | $1.68 |
| 09-15 16:20 | Will Denis Zvizdić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? | SELL | 0.131 | $2.62 |
| 09-15 16:19 | Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%? | SELL | 0.186 | $3.72 |
| 09-15 16:19 | Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $6.20 |
| 09-15 16:19 | Will Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election? | SELL | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 09-15 16:19 | Will Jacob Misiorowski strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season? | SELL | 0.492 | $1.96 |
| 09-10 22:20 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? | SELL | 0.38 | $13.17 |
| 09-10 05:24 | Will SC Paderborn be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga? | SELL | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 09-10 02:38 | Will Brentford be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 09-08 06:44 | Will Yike Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP? | SELL | 0.321 | $1.25 |
| 09-08 06:44 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.51 | $0.26 |
| 09-07 12:04 | Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.6401 | $32.01 |