PLLP
0x2092a375f7adb286c13ba79e9c3994aef731a752
- Realised P&L
- $-186.66
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $113.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? · No | 0.730 | 0.705 | $84.60 | −$3.00 |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.510 | $25.50 | −$13.00 |
| Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.177 | $3.54 | −$3.06 |
| Will Pierre Chanel Tutugoro be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.00 |
| Will Keaton Verhoeff be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.20 |
| Will Carson Carels be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.20 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7? · No | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.00at 0.180Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
- +$7.75at 0.600Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
- +$7.50at 0.250Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
- +$4.79at 0.280Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above $40B?
- +$0.70at 0.813Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 07:47 | Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31? | SELL | 0.54 | $9.35 |
| 07-01 06:28 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.894 | $178.80 |
| 07-01 06:12 | Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31? | SELL | 0.296815534 | $3.06 |
| 07-01 06:00 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.817 | $142.03 |
| 07-01 02:54 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.815 | $163.00 |
| 07-01 02:15 | Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4% and 5%? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.28 |
| 07-01 02:15 | Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%? | SELL | 0.67 | $13.40 |
| 07-01 02:14 | Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.8% and 0.9%? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 06-30 14:59 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL? | SELL | 0.183 | $9.15 |
| 06-30 06:16 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.718 | $3.59 |
| 06-28 03:17 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | SELL | 0.23 | $13.80 |
| 06-26 05:59 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | SELL | 0.6 | $36.00 |
| 06-26 04:05 | Will William Hakansson be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 NHL Draft? | SELL | 0.9 | $13.50 |
| 06-26 02:28 | Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.48 | $48.00 |
| 06-25 16:05 | Will Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | SELL | 0.27 | $4.73 |