PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

PLLP

0x2092a375f7adb286c13ba79e9c3994aef731a752

Realised P&L
$-186.66
Volume
$5.9k
Markets traded
43
Open portfolio
$113.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded43
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample37 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? · No0.7300.705$84.60$3.00
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31? · Yes0.7700.510$25.50$13.00
Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%? · Yes0.3300.177$3.54$3.06
Will Pierre Chanel Tutugoro be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$18.00
Will Keaton Verhoeff be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00$28.20
Will Carson Carels be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00$28.20
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7? · No0.7100.000$0.00$42.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-06 07:47Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31?SELL0.54$9.35
07-01 06:28Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.894$178.80
07-01 06:12Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31?SELL0.296815534$3.06
07-01 06:00Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.817$142.03
07-01 02:54Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.815$163.00
07-01 02:15Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4% and 5%?SELL0.014$0.28
07-01 02:15Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?SELL0.67$13.40
07-01 02:14Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.8% and 0.9%?SELL0.1$2.00
06-30 14:59Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?SELL0.183$9.15
06-30 06:16Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.718$3.59
06-28 03:17Iran full airspace closure by July 15?SELL0.23$13.80
06-26 05:59Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?SELL0.6$36.00
06-26 04:05Will William Hakansson be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 NHL Draft?SELL0.9$13.50
06-26 02:28Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027?SELL0.48$48.00
06-25 16:05Will Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?SELL0.27$4.73