0x208c5412e85e85f4103cd10a6394149bdda952ca
0x208c5412e85e85f4103cd10a6394149bdda952ca
- Realised P&L
- $86.32
- Volume
- $15.7k
- Markets traded
- 482
- Open portfolio
- $10.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded482
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? · Up | 0.586 | 0.610 | $7.21 | +$0.29 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 23? · Up | 0.600 | 0.595 | $3.46 | −$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$209.76at 0.021Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
- +$37.18at 0.826SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 27?
- +$32.97at 0.276S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16?
- +$29.87at 0.871SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 20?
- +$29.23at 0.876S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 04:21 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.22 |
| 09-23 04:21 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.23 |
| 09-23 04:21 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.6299999846 | $1.23 |
| 09-23 04:16 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.6199999693 | $1.21 |
| 09-23 04:06 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.6099998975 | $1.19 |
| 09-23 04:04 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.17 |
| 09-23 02:19 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.519999825 | $1.07 |
| 09-23 02:19 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.51 | $1.02 |
| 09-23 00:25 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.5499998715 | $1.07 |
| 09-22 20:17 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $46.95 |
| 09-22 18:57 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.6799999244 | $1.08 |
| 09-22 18:57 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.6799998547 | $1.31 |
| 09-22 18:56 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.76 | $1.33 |
| 09-22 18:51 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.76 | $1.08 |
| 09-22 18:51 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.08 |