PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x208ba9aCdF696A6B4b5B7BD2aA5BddF98C26F13e-1772223425530

0x208ba9acdf696a6b4b5b7bd2aa5bddf98c26f13e

Realised P&L
$81.24
Volume
$5.7k
Markets traded
196
Open portfolio
$157.95

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded196
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on October 3? · No0.9910.991$59.43−$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4? · No0.9450.945$44.43+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 3? · No0.9040.905$30.17+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on October 4? · No0.9870.975$19.49−$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 3? · Yes0.2900.475$2.38+$0.93
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 3? · Yes0.3500.390$2.01+$0.21
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 3? · Yes0.2300.007$0.04−$1.11
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6420.000$0.00−$6.19
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5110.000$0.00−$3.70
Gibraltar vs. São Tomé e Príncipe: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4600.000$0.00−$2.12
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET · Up0.7360.000$0.00−$43.70
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$7.25
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 10.5 Total Corners · Under0.5300.000$0.00−$10.60
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5 · Over0.6000.000$0.00−$1.58
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.6800.000$0.00−$6.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 04:19Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on October 3?BUY0.991$9.91
10-03 03:31Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?BUY0.95$9.52
10-03 03:28Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on October 3?BUY0.991$9.91
10-03 03:28Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on October 3?BUY0.991$9.91
10-03 03:27Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on October 3?BUY0.991$9.91
10-03 03:27Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on October 3?BUY0.991$9.91
10-03 03:23Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 3?SELL0.999$157.95
10-03 02:37Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 3?BUY0.9399999922$2.40
10-03 00:56Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 3?BUY0.8306$20.77
10-03 00:54Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 3?BUY0.8266575509$27.21
10-03 00:45Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on October 3?SELL0.9959699323$50.02
10-03 00:17Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 3?BUY0.9583777445$38.41
10-03 00:12Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 3?BUY0.956669328$28.76
10-02 23:19Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 3?BUY0.91$9.14
10-02 22:49Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 3?BUY0.29$1.45