Cracotte461
0x208a288424b753d4e99d46641f2039a879a3441e
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $140.3k
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $48.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.365Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$986.79at 0.331Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
- +$822.27at 0.552Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 213.5
- +$736.06at 0.579Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?
- +$703.92at 0.420Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 19:20 | Ferrán Torres: Anytime Goalscorer | BUY | 0.49 | $282.63 |
| 10-25 20:01 | Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.58 | $17.40 |
| 10-25 20:01 | Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.58 | $290.00 |
| 09-20 18:13 | Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.46 | $138.00 |
| 09-20 15:32 | Juventus FC vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.53 | $371.00 |
| 09-20 15:00 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.33 | $198.00 |
| 09-20 14:21 | Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.45 | $315.00 |
| 09-20 12:00 | Will Jorge Martin win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.09 |
| 09-19 15:24 | VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $312.00 |
| 09-19 13:06 | Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.46 | $345.00 |
| 09-17 18:53 | Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.57 | $399.00 |
| 09-16 21:34 | RSC Anderlecht vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.999 | $1.0k |
| 09-16 19:12 | RSC Anderlecht vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.74 | $296.00 |
| 09-15 19:41 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.19 | $104.50 |
| 08-23 14:08 | Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.46945 | $93.89 |