FanaticalSynapse
0x2087672987860c41c7d71f05885af694904c1a53
- Realised P&L
- $-126.18
- Volume
- $6.2k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $75.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.595 | $29.75 | +$14.75 |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? · Yes | 0.271 | 0.095 | $24.84 | −$46.15 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.365 | $14.60 | +$8.60 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.055 | $3.44 | −$6.56 |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.027 | $2.70 | −$9.30 |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.16 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina | 0.083 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.28 |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.22at 0.125Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.45at 0.157Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-0.74at 0.137Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
- +$-2.00at 0.038Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Japanese PM?
- +$-2.14at 0.140Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 21:51 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.0824999837 | $4.28 |
| 07-19 21:50 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.0575 | $4.66 |
| 07-19 21:45 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.0924999899 | $7.49 |
| 07-19 21:44 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.075 | $8.03 |
| 07-19 21:28 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3074999952 | $32.92 |
| 07-19 21:27 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.2125996181 | $35.63 |
| 07-08 07:09 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1879999871 | $10.98 |
| 07-08 07:09 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.185 | $11.33 |
| 04-30 21:21 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0869999919 | $9.50 |
| 04-30 21:21 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1529999863 | $9.37 |
| 04-30 21:19 | Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.004 | $10.00 |
| 04-30 21:19 | Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.010999999 | $11.16 |
| 04-30 21:17 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.25 | $15.00 |
| 04-18 20:44 | Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027? | SELL | 0.11 | $7.85 |
| 04-18 20:43 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.12 | $5.26 |