Gilishan
0x2087578e72024a335b63245da5dbdf62b59e35e5
- Realised P&L
- $-143.55
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $52.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on October 17? · Yes | 0.634 | 0.660 | $12.22 | +$0.47 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 17? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.615 | $10.94 | +$0.09 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on October 17? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.555 | $10.53 | −$1.42 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 17? · Yes | 0.637 | 0.585 | $10.05 | −$0.89 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 17? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.465 | $8.41 | −$2.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.23at 0.209Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 17?
- +$34.61at 0.287Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 17?
- +$29.02at 0.297Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 17?
- +$12.21at 0.351Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 18?
- +$7.60at 0.642Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 21:02 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on October 17? | BUY | 0.6345991561 | $11.75 |
| 10-16 19:16 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on October 17? | BUY | 0.6299999989 | $11.95 |
| 10-16 15:39 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.6299999823 | $11.39 |
| 10-16 13:27 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.6099999865 | $10.85 |
| 10-16 12:41 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.6370882621 | $10.94 |
| 10-16 07:28 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.649999994 | $10.82 |
| 10-16 01:00 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.6099999895 | $11.01 |
| 10-14 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 14? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.47 |
| 10-13 00:16 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.6199999987 | $9.91 |
| 10-11 20:26 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.6370749543 | $10.89 |
| 10-11 07:54 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.6299999831 | $10.43 |
| 10-10 00:02 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 10? | BUY | 0.6299999879 | $9.89 |
| 10-09 18:10 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.29 | $4.51 |
| 10-09 01:31 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.64 | $9.95 |
| 10-08 19:02 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.6499999804 | $9.97 |