PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Gilishan

0x2087578e72024a335b63245da5dbdf62b59e35e5

Realised P&L
$-143.55
Volume
$2.8k
Markets traded
58
Open portfolio
$52.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded58
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on October 17? · Yes0.6340.660$12.22+$0.47
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 17? · Yes0.6100.615$10.94+$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on October 17? · Yes0.6300.555$10.53−$1.42
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 17? · Yes0.6370.585$10.05−$0.89
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 17? · Yes0.6300.465$8.41−$2.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 21:02Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on October 17?BUY0.6345991561$11.75
10-16 19:16Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on October 17?BUY0.6299999989$11.95
10-16 15:39Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 17?BUY0.6299999823$11.39
10-16 13:27Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 17?BUY0.6099999865$10.85
10-16 12:41Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 17?BUY0.6370882621$10.94
10-16 07:28Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 16?BUY0.649999994$10.82
10-16 01:00Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on October 16?BUY0.6099999895$11.01
10-14 06:06Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 14?BUY0.64$10.47
10-13 00:16Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 14?BUY0.6199999987$9.91
10-11 20:26Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 12?BUY0.6370749543$10.89
10-11 07:54Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on October 11?BUY0.6299999831$10.43
10-10 00:02Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 10?BUY0.6299999879$9.89
10-09 18:10Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 9?SELL0.29$4.51
10-09 01:31Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 9?BUY0.64$9.95
10-08 19:02Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 9?BUY0.6499999804$9.97