Merryzdfb
0x2082a8cd38234c80c95a6a9a07617f4e94a048a9
- Realised P&L
- $-30.67
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $59.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-08-28? · Yes | 0.770 | 1.000 | $40.00 | +$9.20 |
| Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.590 | 0.595 | $19.81 | +$0.17 |
| Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · No | 0.552 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.88 |
| UFC Fight Night: Ludovit Klein vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims) · Ludovit Klein | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.75 |
| Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Shevchenko vs Alex Michelsen · Alexander Shevchenko | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.03 |
| Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.80at 0.500Will Jaime Mulet win the Chilean presidential election?
- +$44.72at 0.763Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$31.31at 0.500Will New England Revolution win the 2026 MLS Cup?
- +$13.40at 0.617Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance
- +$9.97at 0.756Will Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 07:59 | Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.59 | $19.65 |
| 08-24 03:37 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-08-28? | BUY | 0.77 | $30.80 |
| 08-18 08:29 | Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.997 | $19.98 |
| 08-18 08:28 | LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.63 | $14.49 |
| 08-18 08:27 | Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.00 |
| 07-29 05:55 | UFC Fight Night: Ludovit Klein vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.67 | $16.75 |
| 07-14 11:52 | Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.552 | $17.88 |
| 07-01 03:46 | Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.61 | $21.35 |
| 06-24 07:09 | Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.64 |
| 06-10 07:05 | Will the price of Solana be above $10 on June 13? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.00 |
| 06-10 07:04 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on June 12? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.00 |
| 05-25 03:03 | Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Shevchenko vs Alex Michelsen | BUY | 0.43 | $32.03 |
| 05-19 02:25 | Will Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.75 | $30.60 |
| 04-20 11:58 | Will New England Revolution win the 2026 MLS Cup? | SELL | 0.997 | $62.81 |
| 04-20 11:57 | Will New England Revolution win the 2026 MLS Cup? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.13 |