vygjxfdr
0x207d1bf428e505d75e46a0b68fc0dde2f780b318
- Realised P&L
- $-155.82
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $553.72
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.840 | $304.92 | +$43.56 |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.160 | $248.80 | −$186.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.67at 0.958Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.54at 0.902Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
- +$0.00at 0.513Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
- +$-18.00at 0.790Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 12:57 | US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $261.36 |
| 07-13 12:40 | US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $50.40 |
| 07-13 12:39 | US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $50.40 |
| 07-02 09:15 | Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.73 | $219.00 |
| 07-02 08:46 | Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.906 | $348.80 |
| 06-27 03:51 | Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.902 | $347.26 |
| 04-08 07:24 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.513 | $423.23 |
| 03-22 01:26 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.513 | $256.50 |