PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dfgh87

0x2077edfadeb04f0fdc7388e791a60f968a95f415

Realised P&L
$7.60
Volume
$11.9k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$0.26

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 10? · Yes0.5000.009$0.26−$13.54
Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5 · Over0.5000.000$0.00−$30.00
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 8? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$12.91
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or below on September 1? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$23.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 03:22Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 1?BUY0.996$7.68
07-06 08:43Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on July 7?BUY0.99$8.87
07-05 02:34Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of July 6 2026?BUY0.9700505051$19.21
06-22 01:12Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.90 Week of June 22 2026?BUY0.988$29.44
06-20 02:27Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 21?BUY0.97$15.23
06-09 01:21Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on June 10?BUY0.995$7.96
06-04 01:48Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 5?BUY0.992$7.72
05-28 00:45Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 29?BUY0.985$14.78
05-19 11:27Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.75 Week of May 18 2026?BUY0.955$12.13
05-13 01:08Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on May 14?BUY0.99$16.11
05-11 01:01Will Cerebras' market cap be between $30B and $40B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.95$22.79
04-14 13:17Ducks vs. Wild: O/U 4.5BUY0.81$10.77
02-16 11:47Bitway FDV above $10M one day after launch?BUY0.956$2.0k
02-09 12:49Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 135 and 149 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?SELL0.980625$78.45
02-09 12:46Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 135 and 149 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?BUY0.982$1.9k