dfgh87
0x2077edfadeb04f0fdc7388e791a60f968a95f415
- Realised P&L
- $7.60
- Volume
- $11.9k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $0.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 10? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.009 | $0.26 | −$13.54 |
| Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 8? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.91 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or below on September 1? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.36at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or below on September 1?
- +$13.80at 0.500Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5
- +$12.76at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 8?
- +$12.42at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 10?
- +$5.25at 0.982Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 135 and 149 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 03:22 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.996 | $7.68 |
| 07-06 08:43 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on July 7? | BUY | 0.99 | $8.87 |
| 07-05 02:34 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of July 6 2026? | BUY | 0.9700505051 | $19.21 |
| 06-22 01:12 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.90 Week of June 22 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $29.44 |
| 06-20 02:27 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 21? | BUY | 0.97 | $15.23 |
| 06-09 01:21 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on June 10? | BUY | 0.995 | $7.96 |
| 06-04 01:48 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 5? | BUY | 0.992 | $7.72 |
| 05-28 00:45 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 29? | BUY | 0.985 | $14.78 |
| 05-19 11:27 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.75 Week of May 18 2026? | BUY | 0.955 | $12.13 |
| 05-13 01:08 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on May 14? | BUY | 0.99 | $16.11 |
| 05-11 01:01 | Will Cerebras' market cap be between $30B and $40B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.95 | $22.79 |
| 04-14 13:17 | Ducks vs. Wild: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.81 | $10.77 |
| 02-16 11:47 | Bitway FDV above $10M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.956 | $2.0k |
| 02-09 12:49 | Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 135 and 149 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | SELL | 0.980625 | $78.45 |
| 02-09 12:46 | Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 135 and 149 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | BUY | 0.982 | $1.9k |