SwiftieRicky
0x2076caf19f798d55e1a401d241687acb148c4dc1
- Realised P&L
- $-4.2k
- Volume
- $164.9k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $982.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No | 0.811 | 0.961 | $356.35 | +$55.53 |
| US national Ethereum reserve before 2027? · No | 0.870 | 0.965 | $221.93 | +$21.85 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.961 | $192.10 | +$12.10 |
| Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? · No | 0.939 | 0.976 | $97.56 | +$3.65 |
| US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? · No | 0.910 | 0.975 | $94.46 | +$6.25 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · No | 0.910 | 0.957 | $15.75 | +$0.77 |
| Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.965 | $4.43 | +$0.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$199.08at 0.729Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
- +$101.24at 0.915Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
- +$78.00at 0.220Will the government shutdown end November 13?
- +$70.95at 0.888Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
- +$69.24at 0.880Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs South Africa (Game 3)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-26 18:33 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | SELL | 0.87 | $174.00 |
| 04-11 08:50 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.0238170841 | $24.46 |
| 04-11 08:50 | Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.0474387301 | $47.65 |
| 04-11 08:50 | Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.9233774531 | $948.08 |
| 03-01 12:35 | Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.8 | $6.00 |
| 03-01 12:35 | Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.8 | $116.00 |
| 03-01 12:34 | Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $10.00 |
| 03-01 12:34 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.0971351603 | $15.00 |
| 02-22 10:36 | Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.789999993 | $17.00 |
| 02-22 10:35 | Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.7899999826 | $5.00 |
| 02-22 10:34 | Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.7899999993 | $119.00 |
| 02-22 10:32 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.08 | $14.00 |
| 02-22 10:31 | Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.0611021606 | $9.00 |
| 01-26 20:53 | Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.67 | $134.00 |
| 01-26 20:53 | Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.08 | $16.00 |