zzzzxhm1
0x206f1265cc8e07f3724817bcd01d5e290dba82a4
- Realised P&L
- $-206.96
- Volume
- $24.9k
- Markets traded
- 812
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded812
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7AM ET · Down | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.14 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1PM ET · Up | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.92 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7AM ET · Up | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.57 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET · Down | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.16 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8AM ET · Down | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.47 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 3PM ET · Up | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.39at 0.113Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$46.40at 0.386Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2PM ET
- +$45.23at 0.440Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
- +$41.72at 0.460Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4AM ET
- +$39.62at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 14:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | SELL | 0.45 | $1.67 |
| 10-05 08:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4AM ET | SELL | 0.5 | $10.56 |
| 10-03 17:30 | Solana Up or Down - October 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | SELL | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 10-03 17:05 | Solana Up or Down - October 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5899999981 | $15.40 |
| 10-02 22:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | SELL | 0.88 | $20.24 |
| 10-02 21:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.66 | $15.18 |
| 10-02 13:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9AM ET | SELL | 0.24 | $5.31 |
| 10-02 12:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8AM ET | SELL | 0.6 | $11.93 |
| 10-01 23:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7PM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $19.77 |
| 10-01 23:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7PM ET | BUY | 0.7799999683 | $15.74 |
| 10-01 17:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.7899999924 | $15.54 |
| 10-01 15:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11AM ET | SELL | 0.24 | $5.16 |
| 10-01 15:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $16.12 |
| 10-01 14:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10AM ET | SELL | 0.3374791025 | $7.67 |
| 10-01 14:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.729999989 | $16.60 |