0x16f
0x205b0d3b14f390a290cd917349808c66b136dd3c
- Realised P&L
- $-8.5k
- Volume
- $1.07M
- Markets traded
- 251
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded251
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.148 | 0.165 | $1.1k | +$106.90 |
| Raiders vs. Chargers · Chargers | 0.730 | 0.735 | $441.00 | +$3.00 |
| Panthers vs. Falcons · Panthers | 0.570 | 0.565 | $282.50 | −$2.50 |
| Steelers vs. Patriots · Patriots | 0.680 | 0.675 | $269.99 | −$2.00 |
| Spread: Broncos (-3.5) · Jaguars | 0.570 | 0.575 | $230.00 | +$2.00 |
| Commanders vs. Cowboys · Cowboys | 0.650 | 0.655 | $196.50 | +$1.50 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.116 | $90.14 | +$19.12 |
| Ravens vs. Chiefs · Ravens | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
| Falcons vs. Saints · Saints | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.2k |
| Vikings vs. Cowboys · Cowboys | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.5k |
| Grizzlies vs. Warriors · Grizzlies | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$81.00 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.205 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Colts vs. Steelers · Colts | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.6k |
| Commanders vs. Falcons · Commanders | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.1k |
| Vikings vs. Browns · Browns | 0.359 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$828.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.9kat 0.654Rams vs. Seahawks
- +$4.4kat 0.576Seahawks vs. Commanders
- +$4.4kat 0.450Broncos vs. Texans
- +$3.8kat 0.650Chargers vs. Patriots
- +$3.5kat 0.680Seahawks vs. Patriots
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 06:40 | Raiders vs. Chargers | BUY | 0.73 | $438.00 |
| 09-15 00:37 | Broncos vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.37 | $148.00 |
| 09-10 05:54 | Spread: Rams (-2.5) | BUY | 0.6 | $150.00 |
| 09-10 01:04 | Patriots vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.61 | $33.55 |
| 09-10 01:03 | Patriots vs. Seahawks | SELL | 0.41 | $82.00 |
| 09-10 00:27 | Patriots vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.65 | $130.00 |
| 08-29 22:04 | Bears vs. Titans | BUY | 0.4799999995 | $200.00 |
| 08-24 00:19 | Seahawks vs. Titans | BUY | 0.44 | $132.00 |
| 08-05 06:26 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.091 | $71.02 |
| 07-11 22:11 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2049999943 | $25.00 |
| 07-07 20:13 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.609999998 | $113.37 |
| 07-07 00:50 | Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms? | BUY | 0.0476666667 | $3.00 |
| 07-07 00:30 | Will United States win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.16 | $20.00 |
| 07-04 01:02 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.6899999994 | $96.65 |
| 06-27 19:48 | Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.2899999983 | $107.83 |