0x205516835335fe027239322a51bd3a756d2115b7
0x205516835335fe027239322a51bd3a756d2115b7
- Realised P&L
- $13.08
- Volume
- $463.17
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $24.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.695 | $24.07 | +$0.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.11at 0.737Türkiye vs. France: O/U 2.5
- +$5.46at 0.892Spread: France (-1.5)
- +$2.81at 0.416Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?
- +$-5.30at 0.282Will Türkiye vs. France end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 16:51 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | SELL | 0.48 | $28.83 |
| 09-25 20:47 | Spread: France (-1.5) | SELL | 0.99 | $62.10 |
| 09-25 20:43 | Spread: France (-1.5) | BUY | 0.8784060851 | $55.11 |
| 09-25 20:33 | Türkiye vs. France: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.93 | $52.16 |
| 09-25 20:28 | Will Türkiye vs. France end in a draw? | SELL | 0.14 | $4.95 |
| 09-25 19:55 | Türkiye vs. France: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.7199999979 | $40.39 |
| 09-25 19:54 | Will Türkiye vs. France end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999952 | $9.55 |
| 09-24 12:19 | Will England win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.6799999988 | $23.55 |
| 09-24 12:15 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.4 | $24.03 |