0x204f83752ee7099f03a563a033f5e7c959212664
- Realised P&L
- $6.57
- Volume
- $246.16
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $12.06
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.62at 0.239Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
- +$3.82at 0.351Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
- +$3.51at 0.227S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 10?
- +$3.51at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
- +$3.26at 0.380Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 05:19 | Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 20:17 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 12:03 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 03:36 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 19:32 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 09:27 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 07:56 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 16:18 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 07:51 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 22:47 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 14:07 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 06:00 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $335 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 21:33 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 13:32 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 05:24 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |