PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x204e2af3F210Ff36A0d82133a81084b86Fc79112-1785015750604

0x204e2af3f210ff36a0d82133a81084b86fc79112

Realised P&L
$346.27
Volume
$33.9k
Markets traded
1,605
Open portfolio
$7.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,605
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration5.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1AM ET · Up0.3100.165$7.40−$6.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET · Up0.8300.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET · Up0.7700.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4PM ET · Up0.3100.000$0.00−$15.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 10PM ET · Up0.3100.000$0.00−$23.15
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5AM ET · Up0.3100.000$0.00−$2.12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4PM ET · Down0.3100.000$0.00−$6.95
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 8AM ET · Up0.3100.000$0.00−$4.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2PM ET · Up0.3100.000$0.00−$1.55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8AM ET · Down0.3100.000$0.00−$19.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8AM ET · Up0.3100.000$0.00−$23.15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6AM ET · Down0.3100.000$0.00−$5.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9AM ET · Down0.3100.000$0.00−$1.55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2AM ET · Up0.3100.000$0.00−$5.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5AM ET · Down0.3100.000$0.00−$1.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 17:49Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETBUY0.7599999088$1.00
09-16 15:44Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETBUY0.78$1.00
09-16 14:59Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETBUY0.8$1.00
09-16 12:44Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETBUY0.8099999352$1.00
09-16 11:59Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.7299998102$1.00
09-16 09:54Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETBUY0.8$1.00
09-16 08:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETBUY0.78$1.00
09-15 15:14Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETBUY0.8199999836$1.00
09-15 10:24Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETBUY0.78$1.00
09-15 09:24Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETBUY0.78$1.00
09-15 07:59Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-15 05:09Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETBUY0.749999625$1.00
09-15 03:54Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETBUY0.77$1.00
09-15 03:39Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETBUY0.77$1.00
09-15 03:34Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETBUY0.8199999836$1.00