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Traders

larson198

0x2049d49b5e1305a92e83ffe978950056bc202e4d

Realised P&L
$-12.17
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
131
Open portfolio
$13.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded131
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on October 12? · No0.9810.988$4.94+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 11? · No0.9300.885$4.42−$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C or higher on October 12? · No0.8100.765$3.83−$0.23
Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 5°C or below on October 6? · No0.2800.000$0.00−$1.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET · Up0.4000.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 2PM ET · Down0.1700.000$0.00−$0.85
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2AM ET · Up0.8800.000$0.00−$4.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 6PM ET · Down0.1900.000$0.00−$0.95
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 3AM ET · Down0.1700.000$0.00−$0.85
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 5AM ET · Up0.1600.000$0.00−$0.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET · Down0.4100.000$0.00−$2.05
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 26? · Down0.3300.000$0.00−$1.65
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET · Up0.9250.000$0.00−$9.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 6AM ET · Down0.1700.000$0.00−$0.85
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET · Up0.3200.000$0.00−$1.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 19:39Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9?SELL0.81$4.05
10-08 14:00Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 8?BUY0.9$4.52
10-04 10:01Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 5?BUY0.55$2.75
10-04 10:01Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 5?BUY0.52$2.60
10-04 09:56Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 5?BUY0.55$2.75
10-04 09:56Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 5?BUY0.51$2.55
10-04 09:42Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 5?BUY0.6$3.00
10-04 09:42Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 5?BUY0.51$2.55
10-04 07:15Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 4?BUY0.065$1.02
10-03 13:05Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9AM ETSELL0.41$2.05
10-03 13:00Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9AM ETBUY0.46$2.30
10-03 12:00Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8AM ETBUY0.49$2.45
10-03 10:52Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6AM ETBUY0.88$4.40
10-03 09:53Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5AM ETBUY0.88$4.40
10-03 07:58Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3AM ETBUY0.9$4.50