0x2046cb678295e638a982c96b9913b9b66e0356b5
0x2046cb678295e638a982c96b9913b9b66e0356b5
- Realised P&L
- $-3.46
- Volume
- $245.37
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $1.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.870 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 in September? · No | 0.530 | 0.240 | $0.45 | −$0.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.67at 0.230US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$4.59at 0.339SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?
- +$4.19at 0.359Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$3.58at 0.390US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$2.69at 0.460US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:39 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:39 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 13:13 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 in September? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 14:46 | Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 05:41 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.67999981 | $2.29 |
| 09-20 02:19 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.8199999785 | $2.29 |
| 09-19 07:10 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.29 |
| 09-19 06:34 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3699999515 | $2.29 |
| 09-16 13:38 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999541 | $2.29 |
| 09-16 05:38 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.6099999117 | $1.52 |
| 09-13 21:36 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $160 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999971 | $2.29 |
| 09-09 18:02 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.2699999835 | $2.29 |
| 09-08 16:12 | LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.29 |
| 09-07 17:53 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $350 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999741 | $2.29 |
| 09-04 00:19 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.5399998368 | $1.39 |